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18 Aug 2018 description

Key Messages

  • Since mid-July, persistent and well above-average seasonal rains in Sudan caused significant levels of flooding. According to reports, over 45,000 people have been affected in West Kordofan, Kassala, El Gezira, Sennar, and Northern states. Meanwhile, large areas of western Ethiopia, southeastern South Sudan, and northern Uganda have experienced significant rainfall deficits for the past month, resulting in soil and crop moisture stress.

12 Jul 2018 description

Food security improves significantly in southeastern areas, but continued assistance is needed

KEY MESSAGES

07 Jul 2018 description

Above-average rainfall received in the north, with increasing risk of early season floods

KEY MESSAGES

30 Jun 2018 description

Extended lean season likely in Karamoja, though Minimal (IPC Phase 1) expected in post-harvest period

KEY MESSAGES

01 Dec 2017 description

Second season harvest supporting Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes in most areas

Key Messages

21 Oct 2017 description

Deyr rains perform poorly in early October in southern and central Somalia

KEY MESSAGES

  • The Deyr (October to December) season is delayed over southern and central Somalia, with rainfall totals less than 80 percent of average across many areas. In southeastern Ethiopia, rainfall has been average to slightly above average, but concentrated within 1-2 days of rainfall.

17 Oct 2017 description

Early Warnings by Region!

South western: During August at the start of the second season rainfall and planting season, below normal rainfall was received, but the rainfall trend picked up to above normal in September. Therefore, favourable conditions in districts of Kanungu, Kisoro, Kabale, Rukungiri and Ntungamo; and watch conditions in the districts along in the cattle corridor extending to the Western region.

28 Sep 2017 description

Key Messages
- Rainfall was above average during September over much of Sudan, northeastern South Sudan, and the western and central highlands of Ethiopia, which has generally been the case since the start of the season in June. In Sudan, localized areas are expected to face below average production due to mid-season dryness and severe flooding, while Fall Armyworm remains a concern in some areas of Ethiopia.

18 Sep 2017 description

Early Warnings by Region

Acholi: Conditions are close to average but remain under “watch” for most districts in the region due to poor rainfall during July except for Kitgum that is above average due to increased rainfall leading to favorable conditions in the district.

17 Aug 2017 description
report Government of Kenya

Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification

Biophysical Indicators

24 Jul 2017 description
report Government of Kenya

Biophysical Indicators
- Rainfall received during the month was depressed with a temporal distribution of 2-4 days. Compared to the normal for the same period, the cumulative rainfall for the 6-month period (January-June) for Nasukuta rainfall station amounts to only 81%.
- Slight improvement in the condition of vegetation was noted as evidenced by the shift in VCI-3month for the county to 32.2 from 25.02 in May. Pokot central & north remained most affected with a VCI-3-month of 27.06 & 29.91 respectively.

06 Jun 2017 description

March to May rains performed poorly over many areas of the Horn of Africa

KEY MESSAGES

31 May 2017 description

Below-average long rains bring about short-lived improvements

Near Term: February - May 2017

Medium Term: June - September 2017

Key Messages

24 May 2017 description

HIGHLIGHTS

  • FEWS NET projects elevated risk of Famine in Somalia, despite mitigating impact of humanitarian assistance

  • UN releases revised 2017 HRP for Somalia, requesting $1.5 billion to respond to humanitarian needs through December

  • USG announces more than $64 million in new humanitarian assistance for Somalia and Somali refugees in the Horn of Africa

KEY DEVELOPMENTS