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08 Apr 2015 description
  • Decreased rains received over Ethiopia have resulted in strengthening seasonal moisture deficits.

  • Late surge of heavy rainfall continued over portions of Southern Africa.

01 Apr 2015 description
  • Widespread, favorable rains observed over Southern Africa during the past week.
  • Below-average rainfall persists in central Ethiopia.

1) Since late December, an unseasonable distribution of monsoonal rainfall has resulted in anomalous dryness across a broad portion of southern Africa. Low seasonal precipitation totals and untimely dry spells has negatively affected ground conditions and is likely to lead crop reductions for several local areas in southern Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, and South Africa.

25 Mar 2015 description
  • Several anomalously dry areas expected to receive above-average rainfall during the next week.
  • Much of Ethiopia received a large increase in seasonal rains during mid-March.
18 Mar 2015 description
  • Heavy and above-average rains caused flooding and fatalities in western Angola.

  • Onset of the rainy season expected in Eastern Africa during the next week.

1) Since late December, a sharp reduction in rainfall has resulted in mid-season dryness across parts of southern Angola, western Zambia, northern Namibia into the Caprivi Strip region, and the Ghanzi and Ngamiland districts of Botswana. The continuation of suppressed rainfall is expected to negatively impact crops.

11 Mar 2015 description

- Suppressed rains expected in Southern Africa during the next week. - Dry weather observed over the Greater Horn of Africa.

1) Frequent and above-average rainfall over the past several weeks has led to large moisture surpluses in northern Mozambique. During the next week, heavy rains are forecast to continue, which could trigger new flooding and exacerbate conditions on the ground.

04 Mar 2015 description
  • Consistent heavy rains caused fatalities, flooding, and landslides in Madagascar.

  • A slow start to the rainy season observed in southwestern Ethiopia.

25 Feb 2015 description

Above-average rains were observed across saturated areas in Madagascar and northern Mozambique.

Dryness deepens across Angola, Namibia, Botswana, South Africa and coastal Tanzania.

11 Feb 2015 description

Tropical Storm Fundi brought torrential rains to Madagascar.

Below-average rains deepen rainfall deficits in Angola and Namibia.

04 Feb 2015 description

- Heavy rains are forecast for already saturated areas around the Mozambique Channel.

- Widespread moderate rain was observed across southern Africa during the past week.

28 Jan 2015 description

Suppressed seasonal rains over southeastern Africa expected to provide relief to saturated ground conditions.

Mid-seasonal dry spells experienced throughout several parts of Angola, Namibia, and Zimbabwe.

21 Jan 2015 description
  • Heavy, flood inducing rainfall continued over southeastern Africa during the last week.
  • Suppressed rains across southern Angola and northern Namibia strengthen mid seasonal moisture deficits.

1) Although good rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October-December rainy season combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season had already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia.

14 Jan 2015 description

Significantly heavy rains continue over southeastern Africa, while dryness develops across the southwest.

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions remain favorable for tropical cyclone development in Mozambique Channel.

1) Although good rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October-December rainy season combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season had already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia.

07 Jan 2015 description

- Large scale, heavy rainfall continues to alleviate many anomalously dry areas, but also elevates the potential for flooding in southeastern Africa.

1) Although good rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October-December rainy season combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season had already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia.

31 Dec 2014 description
  • Heavy rains brought needed moisture to dry areas in eastern southern Africa.
  • Moderate to heavy rains were observed around Lake Victoria in Uganda and Kenya.
24 Dec 2014 description
  • Needed rainfall was observed across previously dry areas in southern Africa.
  • Dry conditions prevailed across eastern Africa.

1) Although good rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during late November and early December, the delayed onset of the October- December rainy season combined with an erratic distribution of rains during the season had already negatively impacted ground conditions in northern Kenya and southern Somalia. As the season is coming to an end, a recovery is unlikely.

17 Dec 2014 description
  • A favorable distribution of rainfall was observed over Southern Africa during the past week.

  • Seasonally-dry weather observed in Eastern Africa.

10 Dec 2014 description

- After several weeks of suppressed rains, good rains are forecast in eastern Southern Africa. - Little rains expected in Eastern Africa.

1) Low and poorly-distributed seasonal OctoberDecember, Deyr, rains have led to moisture deficits and deteriorated ground conditions throughout local areas of southern Somalia, central Kenya, and coastal Tanzania. Recent rains have relieved dryness over most parts, but rainfall deficits have persisted over many localized areas.

03 Dec 2014 description
  • Below-average rains observed over a wide portion of Southern Africa during the past week.
  • Seasonal rains coming to an end in the Greater Horn of Africa.

1) Low and poorly distributed seasonal OctoberDecember, Deyr, rains have led to moisture deficits and deteriorated ground conditions throughout local areas of southern Somalia, central Kenya, and coastal Tanzania. Recent rains have relieved dryness over most parts, but rainfall deficits have persisted over many localized areas.

26 Nov 2014 description
  • Scattered moderate to heavy rains observed in southern Somalia and eastern Kenya.

  • Below-average rains persist in central Angola, southern Zambia, and eastern South Africa.

1) Low and poorly distributed seasonal “Deyr” rains have led to strengthening moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions throughout several local areas in southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, and coastal Tanzania. Recent rains have relieved dryness over most parts, but rainfall deficits have persisted over many localized areas.

19 Nov 2014 description
  • A short period of increased rains helped to relieve many anomalously dry areas in the Greater Horn.

  • Strengthening moisture deficits continue throughout parts of northern Angola and eastern Zambia.

1) Low and poorly distributed seasonal “Deyr” rains have led to strengthening moisture deficits and deteriorating ground conditions throughout several local areas in southern Somalia, eastern Kenya, and coastal Tanzania. The persistence of drier than average rainfall in November is likely to negatively affect crop and pastoral areas in the region.