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09 Jul 2012 description
report Carleton University

Executive Summary

This CIFP report provides a global fragility ranking for 2011 for a total of 197 countries. The global rankings indicate that Somalia tops the list of most fragile countries followed closely by Afghanistan, Chad, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Yemen, and Central African Republic. Sudan, Eritrea, Pakistan and Cote d'Ivoire round out our top 10.

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01 Feb 2002 description
report Carleton University

The integration of gender specific indicators into early warning systems is crucial for sustaining an effective approach to estimating conflict potential. Conflict affects women and men differently and although these effects vary widely across cultures depending upon the role of women in a particular society, it is clear that armed conflict exacerbates inequalities (Gardam & Charlesworth 2000). The purpose of this paper is to propose measurable indicators sensitive to the experiences of women and enhance early warning capacity to account for these gendered elements of conflict.

31 Oct 2001 description
report Carleton University

Since 1945, more civilians have been killed as a consequence of gross human rights violations than as a result of international, colonial and civil wars. Despite increased efforts to understand human rights violations (HRVs) and internal warfare following the Bosnian war and Rwandan genocide, minimal attention has been devoted to understanding the linkage between these two factors. Accordingly, this research essay will examine the following questions:

1) Is there a link between HRVs and conflict escalation?

01 Dec 2000 description
report Carleton University

This report presents a framework to direct the future efforts of researchers working on the CIFP project to tailor it to the needs of foreign policy analysts and the early warning research community. It describes procedures to translate information from the internationally-recognized CIFP database, in combination with insights from foreign affairs personnel and field level specialists, into reports of imminent dangers.