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07 Dec 2017 description

This brief summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries. The projected size of each country’s acutely food insecure population (IPC Phase 3 and higher) is compared to last year and the recent five-year average and categorized as Higher ( p), Similar ( u), or Lower ( ). Countries where external emergency food assistance needs are anticipated are identified. Projected lean season months highlighted in red indicate either an early start or an extension to the typical lean season.

01 Dec 2017 description

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year.

01 Dec 2017 description

Large-scale Emergencies continue in South Sudan, Somalia, Yemen, and Ethiopia

Key Messages

  • Conflict and drought are driving very high assistance needs in East Africa and Yemen, with more than 35 million people likely to require humanitarian assistance by May 2018. Sustained, large-scale humanitarian assistance is needed to protect livelihoods and mitigate the potential for loss of life.

01 Dec 2017 description

Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5) outcomes likely exist despite ongoing harvest

Key Messages

01 Dec 2017 description

Second season harvest supporting Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes in most areas

Key Messages

29 Nov 2017 description

Following unprecedented food assistance needs in 2017, little improvement is anticipated during the coming year.

11 Nov 2017 description

Deyr rains performed poorly in October in southern Somalia, with increases in early November

KEY MESSAGES

  • The onset of the Deyr (October to December) season was significantly delayed over parts of southern and central Somalia by 20-30 days. Rainfall totals in October were less than 50 percent of average, following by increases in rainfall during the first 10 days of November. Seasonal performance has been better in neighboring areas Ethiopia, where rainfall has been average to above average.

01 Nov 2017 description

Average national aggregate harvest likely, with pockets of well below-average harvests

KEY MESSAGES

01 Nov 2017 description

Early start of second season harvest improves national food security

Key Messages

01 Nov 2017 description

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year.

01 Nov 2017 description

Les conflits continuent à perturber les moyens d’existence des ménages dans les zones affectées

MESSAGES CLÉS

28 Oct 2017 description

Moisture deficits continue to grow in eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Moisture deficits have grown in eastern Ethiopia, southern and central Somalia, and northeastern Kenya due to poor rainfall since late September. Over central and southern Somalia, a dry weather pattern is forecast, which could worsen conditions on the ground.
21 Oct 2017 description

Deyr rains perform poorly in early October in southern and central Somalia

KEY MESSAGES

  • The Deyr (October to December) season is delayed over southern and central Somalia, with rainfall totals less than 80 percent of average across many areas. In southeastern Ethiopia, rainfall has been average to slightly above average, but concentrated within 1-2 days of rainfall.

20 Oct 2017 description

Moisture deficits in the Greater Horn of Africa could indicate delayed onset of seasonal rains

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poorly-distributed rainfall during August and early September has delayed crop development over parts of southern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana. Below-average rain is forecast next week, which further reduces the chance for recovery.

18 Oct 2017 description

Summary Points

  • Maize grain as usual was the most traded commodity in the region followed by dry beans, rice and then sorghum. See Figure 1.

  • Staple commodity prices especially for maize are expected to remain above last year and five year average prices despite near average harvest in the region with spatial pockets of deficit within and between countries because carryover stocks are low, tightening supplies available for trade.

18 Oct 2017 description

Sustained assistance needed in Somalia, Ethiopia where below-average Deyr rains are forecast

Key Messages

12 Oct 2017 description

Despite average rainfall over East Africa, risk of flooding remains high in Sudan and Ethiopia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. and below-normal rainfall in August and early September has produced moderate to large moisture deficits in parts of southern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana.

  2. Below-average rain over the past three months has resulted in poor ground conditions in the Western Cape province of South Africa.

11 Oct 2017 description

This brief summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries. The projected size of each country’s acutely food insecure population (IPC Phase 3 and higher) is compared to last year and the recent five-year average and categorized as Higher (p), Similar (u), or Lower (q). Countries where external emergency food assistance needs are anticipated are identified. Projected lean season months highlighted in red indicate either an early start or an extension to the typical lean season.

05 Oct 2017 description

Below-average rain recorded in West Africa, while above-average rain persists over Eastern Africa

  1. Inconsistent and below-normal rainfall since mid-August has increased moisture deficits and led to abnormal dryness for parts of southern Burkina Faso and northern Ghana.

  2. Recent heavy rains have caused the Niger and Benue Rivers in Nigeria to flood. Reports indicate that 100,000 people were displaced by flooding and many crops have been destroyed. Continued rain will keep rivers high.