Appeals & Response Plans
- South Sudan: Rift Valley Fever Outbreak - Dec 2017
- South Sudan: Floods - Sep 2017
- East Africa: Armyworm Infestation - Mar 2017
- South Sudan: Cholera Outbreak - Jul 2016
- South Sudan: Food Insecurity - 2015-2018
- South Sudan: Cholera Outbreak - Jun 2015
- Sudan/South Sudan: Measles Outbreak - Mar 2015
- South Sudan: Kala-azar Outbreak - Sep 2014
- South Sudan: Floods - Aug 2014
- South Sudan: Cholera Outbreak - May 2014
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Despite a slight increase in rainfall across many anomalously dry parts of eastern Kenya in November, seasonal moisture deficits are expected to negatively impact the region.
Drier conditions expected during the next week across East Africa, following anomalously heavy rainfall in mid-November.
Heavy rainfall and localized flooding likely in Somalia and eastern Ethiopia
Torrential rains from 1 the passage of a tropical cyclone across northern Somalia, as well as a broad area of low pressure over Somalia during the last week, is likely to result in localized flooding, damages to infrastructure, livestock losses, displacement of populations, and downstream river inundation across parts Somalia and eastern Ethiopia. A continuation of locally heavy rainfall is expected across the region during the next week.
Following a week of torrential rainfall, the continuation of above-average precipitation in mid-November is likely to sustain the risk of flooding, and lead to adverse ground impacts across many parts of Somalia and eastern Ethiopia.
- The passage of a weak tropical disturbance is expected to produce heavy amounts of rainfall over northern Somalia.
- Poor October rainfall across parts of central and eastern Kenya, as well as, southern Somalia lead to strengthening moisture deficits in the region.
1) The development of a tropical disturbance in the northwestern Indian Ocean is expected to move west and bring significantly heavy amounts of rainfall across the Gulf of Aden and Somalia.
An increase in rain across South Africa reduces early season rainfall deficits.
Localized heavy rain showers were observed across central Somalia.
1) Since June, insufficient and poorly-distributed rainfall has led to large rainfall deficits across the Gulf of Guinea countries and has reduced maize yields in Ghana, southern Togo and in southwestern Nigeria. Although seasonal rainfall has increased during the second peak of the bi-modal rainfall season, below average thirty and sixty day rainfall totals have continued. Average rainfall is forecast during the next week.
After a week of heavy rain, rains across bi-modal West Africa were light and below-average.
Anomalous heavy early-season rainfall was observed across much of Mozambique.
Heavy rains were observed across dry areas in bi-modal regions along the Gulf of Guinea.
1) A pronounced late start of seasonal rainfall in July has delayed planting by approximately one month and has reduced crop yields across many parts of Sudan. The onset of continuous seasonal rainfall during September and October now remains critical for several local areas that have planted late. However, with seasonal rains quickly coming to an end, little time remains for additional rainfall.
Some relief to dryness is expected across the Gulf of Guinea region during the end of September.
1) A pronounced late start of seasonal rainfall in July has delayed planting by approximately one month and has reduced crop yields across many parts of Sudan. The onset of continuous seasonal rainfall during mid to late September now remains critical for several local areas that have planted late.
A slight reduction in rainfall was observed across West Africa, while seasonal rains continued over eastern Africa during the past week.
A favorable distribution of rainfall was observed across a wide portion of Africa during the past week.
1) A delayed start of the rainfall season across northwestern Ethiopia, southern Eritrea, and bordering areas in Sudan has negatively impacted cropping activities, including planting. After this past week’s heavy rainfall, moderate rains are forecast during the next outlook period, which could help to alleviate dryness over the region.