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18 Jan 2019 description

Increased seasonal rainfall is forecast to relieve dryness throughout southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. An erratic rainfall distribution since the Short-Rains season has caused dryness in Somalia,
    Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Continued below average rainfall since October has resulted in widespread dryness throughout southern Africa.

  3. Poor rainfall has led to anomalous dryness across Madagascar. Heavy rainfall forecast later this month is expected to provide relief.

11 Jan 2019 description

Rainfall brings relief to dry conditions across South Africa, Botswana, Zimbabwe and Angola

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. An erratic rainfall distribution since the Short-Rains season has caused large seasonal dryness in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Continued below average rainfall since October has resulted in significant moisture deficits throughout southern Africa.

  3. Several consecutive weeks of poor rainfall has led to anomalous dryness across Madagascar.

07 Jan 2019 description

KEY MESSAGES

• At the conclusion of the Deyr/short rains season, there remain large areas of drier-than-normal conditions across Somalia, in parts of eastern and southern Ethiopia, in eastern Kenya, and along the Kenya-Uganda border. However, December rainfall alleviated cumulative deficits in parts of the eastern Horn, bringing short-term but significant relief to pasture and water resources.

04 Jan 2019 description

Drought develops in eastern Africa as dryness strengthens across southern Africa

  1. A poor start to the Short-Rains season has resulted in large seasonal dryness in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Insufficient rainfall since October has led to large moisture deficits in South Africa, Lesotho, and Botswana.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall has caused dryness across Madagascar.

  4. Many weeks of below-average rainfall has strengthened dryness in Angola, Namibia, Zambia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, and South Africa.

04 Jan 2019 description

This brief summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries. The projected size of each country’s acutely food insecure population (IPC Phase 3 and higher) is compared to last year and the recent five-year average and categorized as Higher, Similar, or Lower. Countries where external emergency food assistance needs are anticipated are identified. Projected lean season months highlighted in red indicate either an early start or an extension to the typical lean season.

03 Jan 2019 description

Drought continues to develop across Kenya, Somalia, and southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poor rainfall distribution since the beginning of the Short-Rains season has caused large moisture deficits in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Insufficient rainfall since October has resulted in early-season drought across South Africa, Lesotho, and Botswana.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall have caused dryness in central and western Madagascar.

30 Dec 2018 description

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year.

30 Dec 2018 description

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year.

30 Dec 2018 description

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year.

27 Dec 2018 description

Little to no rainfall was received across much of Somalia, as is typical in late December

22 Dec 2018 description

KEY ISSUES

According to the consensus forecast from Greater Horn of Africa Climate outlook Forum (GHACOF50) issued at the end of August 2018, there was a greater likelihood of normal to above normal 2018 Deyr (October – December) rains across Somalia. Above-average Deyr rains were also expected to cause flooding in flood-prone low-lying and riverine livelihoods of the country. However, actual Deyr season rainfall between October and early December 2018 turned out to be below average in most parts of the country.

22 Dec 2018 description

Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes expected in Karamoja through at least May 2019

Key Messages

15 Dec 2018 description

Moderate to heavy rainfall in South-Central and climatologically dry conditions in the North

Most southern regions received light to moderate rainfall between December 1 and 10 according to remote sensing imagery, and rainfall was average to above-average in localized areas of Bay, Lower Shabelle, Middle Shabelle, Lower Juba, and Middle Juba regions. According to satellite-derived rainfall estimates (RFE2), most of the South received 10 to 50 millimeters (mm) of rainfall, though rainfall was minimal in large parts of Bakool, Gedo, and Hiiraan regions (Figure 1).

13 Dec 2018 description

Protracted conflict and below-average rainfall likely to drive increased acute food insecurity

Key Messages

10 Dec 2018 description

Short-term pasture and water improvements likely over the Eastern Horn with late season rainfall

Key Messages

08 Dec 2018 description

Significant October to December rainfall deficits to result in below-average crop and livestock production

06 Dec 2018 description

Abnormal dryness develops in Angola, Zambia, and Zimbabwe

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Delayed seasonal rainfall and erratic precipitation in the last two months has caused dryness across Ethiopia, southern Somalia, and Kenya.

  2. Poorly distributed precipitation since September and high daytime temperatures have caused early season drought in South Africa and Lesotho.

  3. Consecutive weeks of poor rainfall has caused dryness across central and western Madagascar.

05 Dec 2018 description

FEWS NET publishes a Seasonal Monitor for Somalia every 10 days (dekad) through the end of the current October to December Deyr rainy season. The purpose of this document isto provide updated information on the progress of the Deyr season to facilitate contingency and response planning. This Somalia Seasonal Monitor is valid through December 10, 2018 and is produced in collaboration with U.S.

01 Dec 2018 description

Crisis (IPC Phase 3) now expected in parts of Bay, Bakool, and Togdheer regions

Key Messages