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07 Sep 2018 description

A recent forecast issued by the Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF50), issued on 28 August 2018, indicates a greater likelihood of normal to above normal 2018 Deyr (October-December) rains across Somalia. Specifically, the forecast indicates 35 percent probability of above normal rainfall in the northwest regions. This probability is higher (40%) in the rest of the country. Overall, probabilities of normal to above normal rainfall are 75 percent across the country.

02 Sep 2018 description

1.5 million people still face acute food security Crisis or worse in Somalia despite improvements

294 000 children are acutely malnourished

30 Jul 2018 description

Highlights

The Gu (June) 2018 season nutrition assessment among Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) in the main settlements and two urban areas shows Critical prevalence of acute malnutrition (Global Acute Malnutrition-GAM ≥ 15%) in 7 out of 15 population groups surveyed in June 2018: Bossaso, Qardho, Galkacyo Garowe, Mogadishu, Dolow and Baidoa IDPs - see Map 1 and Table 2.

20 Jul 2018 description

Inflation:
SoSh (Somali shilling)-using areas: Consumer Price Index (CPI) mildly changed (by 2-6%) in June 2018. Similary, the CPI declined (by 1-17%) annually due to decreases in cereal prices. SISh (Somaliland shilling)-using areas: The CPI remained relatively stable compared to a month ago (May 2018) but increased (4%) compared to a year ago.

27 Jun 2018 description

Highlights

Inflation:

SoSh (Somali shilling)-using areas: Compared to one month ago, consumer Price Index (CPI) changed mildly (by 2-3%) in May 2018. CPI declined (by 2-18%) annually due to decreases in cereal prices.
SISh (Somaliland shilling)-using areas: The CPI remain relatively stable in May 2018 but increased (8%) compared to a year ago (May 2017).

12 Jun 2018 description

The February-June 2018 IPC projection for Somalia (issued at the end of January 2018) was based on the following main assumptions:

  • A harsh 2018 Jilaal (Jan-Mar)

  • Likely below average 2018 Gu (Apr-Jun) rainfall across most parts of Somalia

  • Limited/no humanitarian assistance

  • A total Somalia population of 12.3 million with the following breakdown: 5.2 million urban, 6 million rural and 1.1 million IDPs (see table below)

24 May 2018 description

Highlights

Inflation:

SoSh (Somali shilling)-using areas: Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined mildly (by 1-7%) in April 2018. Similarly, the CPI declined (by 11-20%) annually due to decreases in cereal prices.
SISh (Somaliland shilling)-using areas: The CPI remain relatively stable month-on-month in April 2018 but increased (6%) year-on-year due to higher cereal prices this year.

Exchange rate:

24 May 2018 description

Highlights

April 2018 was marked by well above average rains across the country, with the exception of some parts of Bari, Sanaag, Sool and Nugal. Most of the rain gauge stations recorded avereage to well above average rains.

09 May 2018 description

Highlights

  • In Somalia, April and October are the peak months of rainfall during the Gu (April-June) and Deyr (OctoberDecember) seasons, respectively. Flooding mostly occurs during the Deyr season and it is affected by rainfall amounts in the upper catchments of the Shabelle and Juba Rivers in neighboring Ethiopia. Over the past three decades, three severe floods have occurred: 1997 Deyr, 2006 Deyr and 2018 Gu