Appeals & Response Plans
- Tropical Cyclone Luban - Oct 2018
- Somalia: Polio Outbreak - Aug 2018
- Tropical Cyclone Mekunu - May 2018
- Tropical Cyclone Sagar - May 2018
- Somalia: Flash Floods - Apr 2018
- Somalia: Measles Outbreak - Dec 2016
- Somalia: Floods - May 2016
- Somalia: Cholera Outbreak - Apr 2016
- Tropical Cyclone Megh - Nov 2015
- Tropical Cyclone Chapala - Nov 2015
Most read reports
- Somalia: Upsurge in violence triggers new wave of displacement
- UN Migration Agency Brings Life-saving Health Services to Previously Inaccessible Areas of Somalia
- Spike in Somalia violence forces 21,000 people to flee their homes
- 11 mothers from one village in Somalia die giving birth in one week
- IOM Regional Office for East and Horn of Africa - October 2018 Bulletin
Rainfall expected to increase, signaling the full onset of the October to December seasonal rains
• The onset of the October to December seasonal rains during the first three weeks of October was generally erratic in terms of intensity and spatial and temporal distribution across East Africa.
The start of the Deyr was delayed one to three weeks in Somalia and parts of Ethiopia, most notably in the agropastoral livelihood zones of southern Somalia.
Northern seasonal rains forecast to typically subside and likely timely onset for October rains
The June to September seasonal rains gradually subsided in late September, marking the cessation of persistent well aboveaverage rainfall amounts across most of the northern sector, which led to widespread flooding in Sudan. However, some areas of the region experienced significant cumulative seasonal deficits, including some central areas of Ethiopia, eastern and central South Sudan, and northern and eastern Uganda.
During the month of August, Sudan continued to receive significantly above-average rainfall, which caused additional widespread flooding, fatalities, livestock and crop losses, and infrastructure damage. As moderate to localized heavy rainfall is forecast over the next two weeks, particularly in southern areas, a heightened flood-risk is expected through mid-September.
Since mid-July, persistent and well above-average seasonal rains in Sudan caused significant levels of flooding. According to reports, over 45,000 people have been affected in West Kordofan, Kassala, El Gezira, Sennar, and Northern states. Meanwhile, large areas of western Ethiopia, southeastern South Sudan, and northern Uganda have experienced significant rainfall deficits for the past month, resulting in soil and crop moisture stress.
The water point map viewer, which monitors 234 water points from Mali to Somalia, will help a range of government and non-government actors understand the current availability of water for livestock and human consumption. This will inform food security analysis, humanitarian assistance planning, and a range of other activities
Deyr rains continue in the many parts of southern, central, and northeastern Somalia
Moderate to heavy rains were received from October 11 to 20 in most parts of the South and parts of the central and northeastern regions. However, most parts of the Northwest, including Sool, Sanaag, Toghdeer, Awdal, and Woqooyi Galbeed Regions, were generally dry during this period (Figure 1).
First Deyr 2012 rains light to moderate in many parts of southern and central Somalia
Moderate precipitation continues in most parts of the North and some parts of the southern regions
Moderate GU rains in the south and parts of Northwest
Moderate rains ranging from 20 to 40 millimeters (mm) were received in most of the southern and parts of the northwestern regions (Figure 1).However, with the exception of pockets in Bari and Nugal regions, most of the Northeast received light showers or remained dry during the third dekad of April (21‐30). Similarly most central regions received little rain. (extract)
Interpreting March-May seasonal forecasts for the Eastern Horn of Africa
Though forecasts are relatively weak, FEWS NET’s forecast analysis suggests that, in the most‐likely scenario, March‐May rainfall in the eastern Horn of Africa will be ten percent belowaverage and poorly distributed. A mediocre season would not be expected to have substantial negative impacts on crop and livestock production.
Interpreting early March-May seasonal forecasts for the Eastern Horn of Africa
The March to May season is the major rainfall period for pastoral and agricultural areas of northern Kenya, southern Ethiopia, and most of Somalia, accounting for 50‐60 percent of annual rainfall in many parts of the sub‐region (Figure 1). These rains are also critical for the secondary Belg season in Ethiopia.