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12 Dec 2006 description

Risk Assessment

Violence in Indian Held Kashmir rose steadily during the months of July and August. After a relaxation in September and October it increased again during November.

31 May 2006 description

Risk Assessment:

Kashmir's Country Stability kept rising until January and started declining from February onwards, whereas the Forceful Events indicator was developing exactly opposite.

20 Jun 2005 description

Risk Assessment:

The Relative Forceful Actions curve for Indian Held Kashmir (IHK) shows a marked rise starting from the month of March, while during the same period, the Country Stability index declines accordingly.

These changes of the graphs in first instance can be related to the upcoming end of a quite harsh winter and, linked to this, the resuming of intensified activities by Kashmiri militants as well as the Indian army.

The number of killed and injured doubled as to those of February though they stayed below those of the same month of last year.