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01 Feb 2018 description

KEY MESSAGES

In West Africa, regional staple food production for the 2017/18 marketing year is projected to be above average, increasing for the fourth consecutive year. Locally-produced grain prices declined seasonally in December as post-harvest sales and trade flows intensified. Staple food prices remained above average across much of the region. Below average pastoral conditions continue to influence livestock markets in many areas. Market anomalies remain largely concentrated in the eastern marketing basin.

27 Dec 2017 description

Drought worsens across Zimbabwe, southern Mozambique and northern South Africa

  1. An early end to seasonal rainfall has caused a drought in eastern Kenya and southern Somalia. Seasonal moisture deficits have strengthened across several bimodal areas of Tanzania during December.

  2. While east-central South Africa has benefited aboveaverage rain since late November, northern and westcentral areas of the country report moderate to large moisture deficits over the past 30 days.

27 Dec 2017 description

Poor rainfall performance leads to drought in eastern Kenya and southern Somalia

  1. Below-average rainfall has increased moisture deficits and resulted in a drought in eastern Kenya and southern Somalia. With the October-December rainfall season ending, the chance for recovery is very unlikely.

  2. While east-central South Africa has benefited aboveaverage rain since late November, northern and westcentral areas of the country report moderate to large moisture deficits over the past thirty days.

27 Dec 2017 description

Poorly distributed rainfall contributes to ongoing moisture deficits in Southern Africa

  1. Below-average rainfall has increased moisture deficits and resulted in a drought in eastern Kenya and southern Somalia. With the October-December rainfall season ending, the chance for recovery is very unlikely.

  2. While east-central South Africa has benefited aboveaverage rain since late November, northern and westcentral areas of the country report moderate to large moisture deficits over the past thirty days.

09 Dec 2017 description

Despite recent rainfall, dryness remains in parts of South Africa and Madagascar

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Seasonal rainfall during early November has helped alleviate early season moisture deficits across Somalia and eastern Kenya. However, deficits in southern Somalia and eastern Kenya remain.
    The forecast below-average rain next week is likely strengthen moisture deficits.

01 Dec 2017 description

*Despite improvement in early season rainfall, Southern Africa continues to report moisture deficit *

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Above-average seasonal rainfall during early November has helped to alleviate early season moisture deficits across Somalia and eastern Kenya.
    However, dryness remains in parts of the northern Somali region of eastern Ethiopia. Moisture recovery is unlikely in the northern region, as seasonal rains are expected to be concentrated towards the south through November.

18 Nov 2017 description

Continued heavy rains in November bring relief to dryness in East Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Since late October, above-average rainfall has mitigated moisture deficits across Somalia and eastern Kenya. However, dryness remains in parts of the northern Somali region of eastern Ethiopia.
  2. Below-average rainfall since mid-October have resulted in considerable moisture deficits across parts of the Free State, Gauteng, and Mpumalanga regions of South Africa and in Lesotho and Swaziland.
09 Nov 2017 description

Despite a recent improvement in seasonal rainfall, dryness remains in Somalia, Kenya, and Ethiopia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Increased seasonal rainfall was recorded in Somalia and northeastern Kenya, helping to mitigate early-season moisture deficits, although dryness remains. Average to above-average rainfall forecast in mid- November is expected to continue to provide relief to the region.

  2. Heavy rainfall continues to sustain the risk for flooding in southeastern Kenya and northeastern Tanzania.

28 Oct 2017 description

Moisture deficits continue to grow in eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Moisture deficits have grown in eastern Ethiopia, southern and central Somalia, and northeastern Kenya due to poor rainfall since late September. Over central and southern Somalia, a dry weather pattern is forecast, which could worsen conditions on the ground.
01 Sep 2017 description

Heavy rains cause flooding and damages in western Sahel, Uganda, and Sudan

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Locally heavy rainfall caused flooding in several states in Sudan last week.
    Although rainfall is expected to decrease throughout the region in early September, saturated ground conditions and elevated river levels sustain the risk for additional flooding.

17 Aug 2017 description

Heavy rainfall in the western Gulf of Guinea triggers flooding and damages to infrastructure

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Above-normal rainfall since July has elevated the risk for flooding in southeastern Sudan and parts of western Ethiopia. Heavy rainfall is forecast for mid to late August.

  2. Despite increased moisture in early August, poorly distributed rainfall across parts of Eritrea, Ethiopia,
    Djibouti, and western Somalia since early July have led to high seasonal moisture deficits.

10 Aug 2017 description

Despite heavy rains in other parts of East Africa, dryness remains in northern Ethiopia and Eritrea

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Several weeks of above-normal rainfall has led to saturated ground conditions and increased the risk of flooding in Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan. Heavy rainfall is forecast over the region during early August.

28 Jul 2017 description

Flooding observed in Nigeria and heavy rain continues in Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan

  1. Below-average rainfall since mid-May has led to abnormal dryness across eastern Uganda and southwestern Kenya. Moisture deficits are likely to negatively impact cropping and Pastoral activities.

  2. Repeated weeks of very heavy, above-normal rains have oversaturated the ground in parts of Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan. More heavy rain during the next week is likely to cause further flooding.

14 Jul 2017 description

Continued heavy rainfall causes flooding in Sudan and Nigeria

07 Jul 2017 description

Rainfall deficits persist over Kenya and Uganda

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Below-average rainfall since mid-May has led to abnormal dryness across eastern Uganda and southwestern Kenya. Moisture deficits are likely to negatively impact cropping and Pastoral activities.

  2. Torrential rain led to destroyed houses in Central Darfur, Sudan. Heavy rain is forecast to continue during the next week. High flooding risks in the region continue.