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26 Oct 2017 description

Executive Summary

General Findings

  • The anticipated return of up to 250,000 Somali refugees from Kenya into southern Somalia in 2017 or later is not expected to trigger or exacerbate large-scale communal or political conflict in the short term. But in the longer term the return will intensify pressure on some very dangerous and unresolved faultlines in Somalia, related to land, identity, rights, and demography.