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09 Sep 2015 description
  • Although decreased rains are expected in West Africa, high ground moisture sustains the risk for floods.
  • Poorly distributed rains strengthen seasonal deficits over parts of central Ethiopia, South Sudan and Uganda

1) While a recent increase in August precipitation is expected to lead to more favorable ground moisture, a delayed onset and uneven rainfall distribution observed during the June-September season may negatively impact cropping and pastoral conditions in the region.

02 Sep 2015 description

- Above-average seasonal rainfall continues over several regions of West Africa.
- Poorly distributed rains strengthen seasonal deficits over parts of central Ethiopia.

1) While a recent increase in August precipitation is expected to lead to more favorable ground moisture, a delayed onset and uneven rainfall distribution observed during the June-September season may negatively impact cropping and pastoral conditions in the region.

26 Aug 2015 description
  • Abundant rain has continued across a wide portion of West Africa.

  • Despite a recent increase in rain, seasonal deficits have persisted over parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.

1) Although an increase in rain has been observed over Eastern Africa during the past few weeks, seasonal deficits have persisted in south-central and eastern Sudan, western Eritrea, and northeastern Ethiopia due to the delayed onset and uneven rainfall distribution to the June-September season.

19 Aug 2015 description

- Widespread heavy rain continues and increases risks for flooding over many areas of West Africa.

- Rainfall deficits have persisted over parts of Eastern Africa despite increased rain during the recent weeks

1) A premature cessation of rain has increased moisture deficits and negatively impacted crops in the southern parts of Ghana, Togo, and Benin. Limited rain is forecast along the Gulf of Guinea during the next week, likely to sustain moisture deficits.

12 Aug 2015 description

- Widespread heavy rain observed across West Africa during the past week.
- Poor rainfall distribution since the start of the season has led to death in livestock over parts of northeastern Ethiopia.

1) A premature cessation of rain has increased moisture deficits and negatively impacted crops in the southern parts of Ghana, Togo, and Benin. A delayed onset and irregular distribution of rainfall have led to abnormal dryness across western and north-central Nigeria.

29 Jul 2015 description

Abnormally wet conditions are continuing for several nations in the western Gulf of Guinea region

Moisture deficits worsen further in southeast Sudan, Eritrea and parts of Ethiopia with a continued lack of rainfall.

01 Jul 2015 description
  • A slight decrease in rainfall was observed over West Africa during the past week.

  • Parts of Eastern Africa have received below-average rain since the beginning of the season.

1) A delayed onset of the rainy season, followed by poorly-distributed rainfall, has led to abnormal dryness across Burkina Faso, the northern parts of Ghana, Togo, and Benin, western and southern Niger, and northern Nigeria, The lack of rainfall over the past several weeks has delayed planting and has already negatively affected cropping activities over many local areas.

24 Jun 2015 description
  • Drier than average conditions observed in southeastern Senegal and western Mali.

  • Favorable rainfall distribution continues over the Greater Horn of Africa.

1) A delayed onset of the rainy season, followed by poorly-distributed rainfall, has led to abnormal dryness across Burkina Faso, the northern parts of Ghana, Togo, and Benin, western and southern Niger, and northern Nigeria, The lack of rainfall over the past several weeks has delayed planting and has already negatively affected cropping activities over many local areas.

17 Jun 2015 description
  • Despite a recent improvement in rainfall, dryness has persisted over parts of West Africa.

  • Below-average rainfall observed in northwestern Ethiopia and central South Sudan since the start of the season.

1) An uneven distribution of the March-May rain has adversely impacted crops and ground conditions over the SNNP, central and Belg-producing areas of Ethiopia, eastern Eritrea, and Djibouti. As the March-May season had already ended, recovery is unlikely.

10 Jun 2015 description
  • Abnormal dryness has settled in across West Africa due to insufficient rains since the start of the season.

  • Seasonal rains continue in Eastern Africa.

1) An uneven distribution of the March-May rains had adversely impacted crops and ground conditions over the SNNP, central and Belgproducing areas of Ethiopia, eastern Eritrea, and Djibouti. As the March-May season had already ended, recovery is unlikely.

03 Jun 2015 description

- The onset of the rainy season has been sluggish over West Africa, but an increase in rainfall is expected during the next week.

1) An uneven distribution of the March-May rains had adversely impacted crops and ground conditions over the SNNP, central and Belg-producing areas of Ethiopia, eastern Eritrea, and Djibouti. As the March-May season has already ended, recovery is unlikely.

24 Sep 2014 description
  • Favorable, late-season rains were received throughout many regions of West Africa during the last week.

  • A seasonable distribution of rains was received across East Africa during late September.

1) Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi zones in central Oromia of central Ethiopia.

17 Sep 2014 description
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  • Seasonal shower activity weakens, leaving many anomalously dry areas as the ITCZ/ITF withdraws across the Sahel.
  • Heavy September rains lead to flooding, and damaged crops throughout many parts of Uganda.
10 Sep 2014 description
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  • A seasonable distribution of rainfall was received across parts of the Sahel during the last week.
  • Little relief to seasonal dryness was observed throughout parts of central Ethiopia.

1) Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi zones in central Oromia of central Ethiopia.

03 Sep 2014 description
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  • Suppressed seasonal rains were received across the western Sahel during late August.
  • Enhanced rains continued over western Ethiopia, eastern Sudan and eastern South Sudan.

1) Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi zones in central Oromia of central Ethiopia.

13 Nov 2013 description

 Following a week of torrential rainfall, the continuation of above-average precipitation in mid-November is likely to sustain the risk of flooding, and lead to adverse ground impacts across many parts of Somalia and eastern Ethiopia.

21 Aug 2013 description

 A favorable distribution of rainfall was observed across a wide portion of Africa during the past week.

1) A delayed start of the rainfall season across northwestern Ethiopia, southern Eritrea, and bordering areas in Sudan has negatively impacted cropping activities, including planting. After this past week’s heavy rainfall, moderate rains are forecast during the next outlook period, which could help to alleviate dryness over the region.

25 Jul 2012 description

1) Although rainfall has been consistent in the western parts of the country since the middle of May, accumulated rainfall has been erratic and below-average since the start of the Kiremt rainy season in June in portions of western Ethiopia including the Oromiya region. Another week of increased rainfall is forecast during the next seven days which will continue to help reduce moisture deficits and aid cropping activities in the region.

18 Jul 2012 description

1) The five-week delay in the onset of the March-May seasonal rainfall and the erratic and below-average nature of the Kiremt rains have significantly impacted ground moisture and cropping activities in the central region of Ethiopia. Although rainfall has been consistent in the western parts of the country since the middle of May, accumulated rainfall has been well below-average since the start of the Kiremt rainy season in June.

11 Jul 2012 description

1) The five-week delay in the onset of the March-May seasonal rainfall had significantly impacted ground moisture and cropping activities in the central region of Ethiopia. Although rainfall has been consistent in the western parts of the country since the middle of May, accumulated rainfall has been well below-average since the start of the Kiremt rainy season in June. Another week of increased rainfall is forecast during the next seven days. This could help continue to reduce moisture deficits and aid cropping activities in the region.