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16 Apr 2012 description

Expert forecasts warn that rainfall in the Horn of Africa throughout the March to May growing season is likely to be lower than average. The UN and humanitarian partners are now urging early action to prevent food insecurity from worsening across the region, with an emphasis on building resilience and sustainable livelihoods.

Read the full story on OCHA's website

04 Oct 2011 description

Early season rainfall deficits in parts of Sudan and Ethiopia; new forecasts for October to March rainfall in East Africa

The period from June to October is the main rainy season in the northern sector of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) including Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, northern and northwestern parts of Ethiopia, and most parts of Djibouti (Figure 1).

13 Aug 2010 description

? Following normal to above?normal rainfall in most parts of the region, favorable crop harvests are expected. Rangeland conditions have also benefitted, leading to further improvements in food security conditions in many parts of the region over the last several months.

? However, as the lean season peaks during the July to September period in many areas, levels of food insecurity are generally expected to remain high.

28 Apr 2009 description



Having regard to the Treaty establishing the European Community, Having regard to Council Regulation (EC, Euratom) No.1257/96 of 20 June 1996 concerning humanitarian aid, and in particular Articles 2, 4 and Article 15(2) thereof:


(1) The population of the arid and semi-arid areas of the Greater Horn of Africa is severely affected by the third year of a consecutive drought and persistent hazards being either man made (conflicts) or natural;

(2) The consecutive rain failures in the central part of …

15 Jan 2009 description
report European Union

Provisional edition


28 Jun 2007 description

Paul Bartel and Jordan Muller

Executive Summary

The Horn of Africa (HOA), composed of Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia, suffers frequent natural disasters that commonly result in losses of life, destruction of infrastructure, and reduction of agricultural production. Formulating effective contingencies to respond to such emergencies is constrained by a limited understanding of the likelihood of a natural hazard occurring within a particular region and risks associated with that hazard.

12 Feb 2004 description

CCA Guidance for East and Northeast Africa Rainfall in March-May 2004 at One Month Lead
Northeast Africa is defined here as the region between 5N and 20N; 20-50E. The prediction for Mar-Apr-May 2004 rainfall at one month lead (neafMAM1.gif) essentially calls for climatology over the region with some very weak signals of higher than climatological probability for rainfall in the area of Djibouti.