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30 Jun 2008 description

Introduction to this new FEWS NET report: High food and fuel prices represent a relatively new global food security threat, especially in urban areas, and especially on the urban poor. To more closely monitor its evolution, FEWS NET is beginning monthly reporting of staple food prices in the 20 countries it covers.

01 Aug 2007 description
  • After dry conditions across parts of the Sahel, a week of heavy rains causes scattered flooding from Ethiopia to Senegal. Localized damage to crops and infrastructure is likely in many areas.

    - Dry conditions remain a concern in several areas, despite the week of excessive rainfall. Lake Volta remains below normal as areas upstream continue to face moisture deficits.

    1) Long term dryness in eastern Kenya is the result of the poor March to May rainy season.

25 Jul 2007 description
  • Dryness throughout much of western Burkina Faso is leading to poor agricultural conditions and low water levels in Lake Volta, though recent rainfall has increased moisture throughout much of the region.

    - Flooding has been reported in parts of eastern Sudan due to localized heavy rainfall during the past two weeks. Rains may be locally heavy during the next week.

    1) Severe drought remains over eastern Kenya as a result of the failure of the March - May wet season.

12 Jul 2007 description
  • Dryness throughout much of western Burkina Faso is leading to poor agricultural conditions and low water levels in Lake Volta.

    - Much of southern Ethiopia is experiencing above normal moisture conditions due to abundant seasonal rainfall.

    1) Severe drought remains over eastern Kenya as a result of the failure of the March - May wet season. Precipitation normally returns to the area in October.

    2) Dryness continues in much of western Burkina Faso as well as adjacent portions of northern Cote d'Ivoire and western Mali.

05 Jul 2007 description
  • Dry conditions continue to spread in the Sahel. Additional rainfall is needed soon in the region for a near normal season.

    - Good growing conditions benefit southern Ethiopia and Sudan. Soil moisture is also above normal in portions of the eastern Sahel, however the past two weeks have been dry, possibly reversing that trend.

    1) Severe drought remains over eastern Kenya as a result of the failure of the March - May wet season. Precipitation normally returns to the area in October.

    2) Dryness continues to spread in Burkina Faso, Côte d'Ivoire, and Guinea.

27 Jun 2007 description

Dry conditions continue to impact the greater Afar region of Ethiopia, and eastern Kenya. Meanwhile dryness is spreading in sections of the Sahel.

Good growing conditions benefit southern Ethiopia and Sudan. Soil moisture is also above normal in portions of the eastern Sahel, however the past two weeks have been dry, possibly reversing that trend.

1) The failure of the Long Rains in Eastern Kenya has resulted in a severe drought. Crops and pastures have both suffered due to the poor rainfall.

06 Jun 2007 description
  • Rainfall remains abundant across the western portions of the Lake Victoria basin and further northward into southern portions of Sudan and portions of outhern and eastern Ethiopia. In west Africa, early season rains have benefited an area stretching from eastern Burkina Faso to southern Chad.

    - The failure of the Long Season rains has left eastern Kenya in a drought.

16 May 2007 description
  • Well distributed rains have resulted in favorable conditions across southern Ethiopia, southeastern Sudan and western portions of the Lake Victoria Basin. However, heavy downpours triggered flooding along the Kenya Coast.

    - Seasonal rains are late to start across eastern Kenya, resulting in drought development. Dry conditions have also had a negative impact on pastures in Djibouti and adjacent parts of Ethiopia and Eritrea. Dry weather recently has raised concerns over crop stress in some parts of the eastern Ethiopian Highlands.

21 Jun 2006 description


Weekly Introduction:
Update of CPC Seasonal Outlooks at One-Month Lead:July-September 2006 Forecasts

Sahel

The outlook for Jul-Sep 2006 Sahel rainfall at one month lead shows a tilt in the odds favoring above average rainfall across the Sahel from western Mali and southern Mauritania eastward into Niger. There is also a tilt in the odds to favor above normal rainfall over eastern Chad.

01 Mar 2006 description


Weekly Introduction:

Update of Seasonal Outlooks at Four-Months Lead:

June - August 2006 Sahel:

There is a low to moderate tilt in the odds favoring above normal rainfall across the Sahel from Mali eastward into Burkina Faso, western Niger, and central Chad.


June - August 2006 Northern Horn of Africa:

11 Aug 2005 description


Weekly Introduction:
Update of Locust Activity: August 11 - 17, 2005

July Monthly Weather Summary from the CPC African Desk:

28 Apr 2005 description


Weekly Introduction:
Situation in Ethiopia

Given reports of continuing food stress, the outcome of the current rainy season is especially important this year. The early dry spell this year may postpone harvests and extend the current hunger season. However, rains appear to be returning to the area and we will continue to monitor the situation with respect to pasture viability and crop availability.

Update of Seasonal Outlooks at Four-Months Lead: Aug-Oct 2005 Forecasts

Gulf of Guinea Region

15 Sep 2004 description


Weekly Introduction:
Update Of ITCZ

During the period from August 21-31 2004, the African portion of the ITCZ moved dramatically to the south in the eastern half of the continent. During the past dekad, the eastern region of the ITCZ moved from around 19N to around 15N. This contrasts with the movement in the west where the ITCZ moved relatively little from last period and is located very close to the 1988-2003 climatological mean. The southward movement of the ITCZ at this time is quite normal as the normal northward peak occurs during the second dekad of August.

12 Aug 2004 description


Weekly Preamble Update:
Update of El Niño

Synopsis: El Niño conditions are expected to develop during the next 3 months.

29 Jul 2004 description


Weekly Preamble Update:
CCA Guidance for November-December-January at Four Months Lead (Southern Africa):

The outlook for southern Africa rainfall at four months lead shows climatology in all areas, except locally over northern Mozambique and northern Angola, where there is a tilt for below and above normal rainfall, respectively.

Locust Update