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08 Oct 2018 description

Northern seasonal rains forecast to typically subside and likely timely onset for October rains

KEY MESSAGES

  • The June to September seasonal rains gradually subsided in late September, marking the cessation of persistent well aboveaverage rainfall amounts across most of the northern sector, which led to widespread flooding in Sudan. However, some areas of the region experienced significant cumulative seasonal deficits, including some central areas of Ethiopia, eastern and central South Sudan, and northern and eastern Uganda.

11 Sep 2018 description

KEY MESSAGES

  • During the month of August, Sudan continued to receive significantly above-average rainfall, which caused additional widespread flooding, fatalities, livestock and crop losses, and infrastructure damage. As moderate to localized heavy rainfall is forecast over the next two weeks, particularly in southern areas, a heightened flood-risk is expected through mid-September.

03 Oct 2016 description

Food insecurity likely to remain worst in conflict-affected areas**

Key Messages

20 Nov 2014 description

Food insecurity will ease after harvests and October to December rains

Key Messages

30 Aug 2013 description

White maize is the main staple grain consumed in Tanzania, Kenya, and Ethiopia. In Uganda, white maize is grown mainly as a commercial crop for export in the region. Imported rice is a major staple for Djibouti and Somalia, which mainly consume belem—the imported red rice. Tanzania is also a major producer and source of rice in the region while Kenya and Uganda are minor producers.

23 Aug 2013 description

A late start to main season rains threatens crops and labor demand

14 Aug 2013 description
  • Rainfall deficits grow along the Gulf of Guinea, while dryness persists in eastern Sudan.

1) A delayed start of the rainfall season across northwestern Ethiopia, southern Eritrea, and bordering areas in Sudan has begun to negatively impact cropping activities, including planting. Heavy rains are, however, forecast during the next outlook period, which could provide some relief to dry conditions throughout the region.

07 Aug 2013 description

 Heavy and above-average rains fell in Sudan, causing flooding and infrastructure damages.

1) A poor start of the rainfall season across northwestern Ethiopia, southern Eritrea, and bordering areas in Sudan has begun to negatively impact cropping activities, including planting. Above-average rains are, however, forecast during the next outlook period, which could provide some relief to dry conditions throughout the region.

24 Jul 2013 description

 Dryness worsens across Sudan, Eritrea and northwest Ethiopia.

 Abnormal dryness develops across bi-modal areas in Ghana and southern Togo.

1) A migratory locust outbreak in October-November was accelerated with the landfall of Tropical Cyclone Haruna in February, which provided favorable conditions for locust breeding throughout western Madagascar. This large-scale outbreak should subside with cooler weather in July-August.

20 Jul 2013 description

KEY MESSAGES

• Food insecurity has declined in many parts of East Africa as household food supplies increased, following the end of the March to June season. Nevertheless, over 12 million people are likely to remain in Stressed (IPC Phase 2), Crisis (IPC Phase 3), and Emergency (IPC Phase 4) through September.

17 Jul 2013 description

 Rains continue to recover across the Sahel of West Africa, while rainfall deficits develop along the Gulf of Guinea.

 Seasonal rainfall deficits grow and expand into eastern/central Sudan.

1) During much of May and the beginning of June, intermittent and insufficient rains had increased rainfall deficits over parts of northeastern Nigeria, resulting in poor NDVI values and delayed planting. However, recent moderate to heavy rains have decreased seasonal rainfall deficits and expected rains should be enough to satisfy cropping requirements.

21 Jun 2013 description

Suspending the Implementation Matrix could reduce food security in Sudan and South Sudan

KEY MESSAGES

12 Oct 2012 description

Access to food improved in many parts of the region following onset of harvests

There are currently 16 million food insecure people in Sudan, South Sudan, Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, Djibouti and Rwanda facing Stressed (IPC phase 2) to Emergency (IPC phase 4) levels of food insecurity. Food security is expected to improve over the coming six months.

26 Sep 2012 description

1) Both anomalous seasonal rainfall and northward position of the Inter-Tropical front has favored breeding conditions for desert locusts over the southern Mauritania-western Mali border, central Niger-eastern Mali, Chad, and east-central Sudan. The continuation of above-average rainfall during September could lead to locust outbreak across many regions.

19 Sep 2012 description

Improvements expected following enhanced production outcomes

  • There are currently 16 million food insecure people in Sudan, South Sudan, Somalia, Ethiopia, Kenya, Djibouti and Rwanda. Current food insecurity is driven by poor production in 2011 and the first half of 2012, impacts of debilitating conflict, macro-economic shocks, and rising global prices.

23 Aug 2012 description
  • Wet conditions prevail across West Africa and eastern Africa.
  • Hatching eggs and low-density locusts increase the potential for locust outbreak over many regions.

1) Heavy rains during the past week have caused flooding, destroying more than two thousand homes in El Fasher, Sudan. Flooding potential remains as locally heavy rains are forecast to continue during the next week.

09 Aug 2012 description
  • Torrential rains continue across the western portions of West Africa.
  • Widespread heavy rains were observed across eastern Africa.
  • Hatching eggs and low-density locusts increase the potential for locust outbreak over many regions.

1) Heavy downpours have resulted in fatalities and displaced population over North and Central Darfur regions of Sudan during the past week. Flooding potential remains as heavy rains are forecast to continue during the next week.

01 Aug 2012 description

2012/2013 season to be impacted by conflict, fuel prices, and atypical livestock movements

Key Messages

27 Jul 2012 description

Food security worsens in Sudan/South Sudan; erratic start of kiremt rains in Ethiopia

  • There are about 16 million people facing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) to Emergency (IPC Phase 4) levels of food insecurity in Djibouti, Ethiopia, Sudan, South Sudan, Kenya, and Uganda.
    The main drivers of food insecurity in these countries are poor rains, conflict, high food prices, and in some cases an inability to access humanitarian assistance.

29 Jun 2012 description

Food prices continue to increase in most reference markets and remain above average

Key messages

  • As of June 2012, about 4.7 million people in Sudan face Stressed (IPC Phase 2), Crisis (IPC Phase 3), and Emergency (IPC Phase 4) levels of food insecurity. Food insecurity is driven principally by conflict in parts of South Kordofan, Blue Nile, and Darfur, food shortages due to the poor 2011/12 harvest, high inflation, above-average food prices, and the impact of reduced oil revenues.