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24 Apr 2013 description

1) Poorly distributed and significantly below average seasonal rainfall has resulted in deteriorating ground conditions since January. This has negatively impacted crops and livestock throughout many parts of southern Angola and northern Namibia.

2) Little to no rainfall since the second dekad of March has been received across portions of eastern Angola, and western Zambia. Late season moisture deficits indicate an early departure of the southern Africa monsoon in the region and may affect crops planted late in the season.

17 Apr 2013 description

1) Since the beginning of the year, poorly distributed and significantly below average seasonal rainfall has led to deteriorating ground conditions, stressed vegetation and negatively impacted cropping activities and livestock throughout many parts of southwestern Africa. Many local areas in Angola and Namibia have experienced less than half of their normal rainfall accumulation since January.

13 Mar 2013 description

1) Since the beginning of the year, several consecutive weeks of below-average rainfall has worsened ground conditions and negatively impacted cropping activities and livestock throughout northern Namibia and southern Angola. Many local areas have experienced less than half of their normal rainfall accumulation since January. With little to no precipitation forecast in the region during the upcoming outlook period, not much relief can be expected as the seasonal rains weaken during March.

21 Feb 2007 description

Weekly Introduction: Tropical Cyclone Favio bears down on southern Mozambique, Zimbabwe

Tropical cyclone Favio (TC 14) is moving across the Mozambique Channel and is expected to strike the coast early on the 22nd. Strong, damaging winds are expected in the immediate vicinity of where Favio makes landfall. Torrential rains are expected to fall from Feb 22 through Feb 25 across southern Mozambique and southeastern Zimbabwe. At this time it appears that the bulk of the rainfall will occur over the Limpopo Basin, where conditions have been dry since early January.

15 Mar 2006 description


Weekly Introduction:
Update of El Niño:

Synopsis: La Niña conditions are expected to continue during the next 3-6 months.

22 Feb 2006 description


Weekly Introduction:

Update of Seasonal Outlooks at One-Month Lead:

March – May 2006 East Africa:

The outlook for Mar-May 2006 East Africa rainfall at one month lead shows a slight tilt in the odds favoring above average rainfall over portions of southern and western Tanzania, and locally over southern Kenya.


March – May 2006 Northern Horn of Africa:

15 Feb 2006 description


Weekly Introduction
Update of El Niño

Synopsis: La Niña conditions are expected to continue during the next 3-6 months.

08 Feb 2006 description


Weekly Introduction:
Tropical Cyclone Boloeste:

01 Feb 2006 description


Weekly Introduction:
Update of Seasonal Outlooks at Four-Months Lead: May – July 2006

Sahel

There is a weak to moderate tilt in the odds favoring above normal rainfall locally over western Mauritania, west central Mali, northern Burkina Faso, and locally over western Niger. A slight to moderate tilt of the odds toward below normal rainfall exists locally over southwestern Mali and central Chad.

Northern Horn of Africa

25 Jan 2006 description


Weekly Introduction:

Update of Seasonal Outlooks at One-Month Lead: February – April 2006

Southern Africa:

11 Jan 2006 description


Weekly Introduction:

Update of Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Activity

Tropical Cyclone 5S (Clare) has dissipated over western Australia. We will continue to monitor the situation for any signs that the patterns are changing and will issue the Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Updates as necessary. At this time, there are no tropical cyclones which pose a threat to the continent or Madagascar.

Notice to our users:

04 Jan 2006 description


Weekly Introduction:

Update of Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclone Activity

30 Nov 2005 description


Weekly Introduction:

Update of Seasonal Outlooks at Four Months Lead:

March – May 2006

Southern Africa

The outlook for March-May 2006 southern Africa rainfall at four months lead shows a tilt in the odds favoring below normal rainfall across Namibia and locally over western Botswana. There is a tilt in the odds favoring above normal rainfall over southern and northern Angola, portions of central and northeastern Zambia, northern Mozambique, Malawi, and portions of southern Tanzania.

East Africa