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16 Sep 2015 description

- Heavy rains trigger flooding in parts of Nigeria.
- Suppressed rainfall continues over parts of southern Ethiopia, South Sudan and Uganda.

1) While a recent increase in August precipitation is expected to lead to more favorable ground moisture, a delayed onset and uneven rainfall distribution observed during the June-September season may negatively impact cropping and pastoral conditions in the region.

22 Jul 2015 description

Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook July 23 – 30, 2015

  • A delayed onset of rainfall is leading to abnormally dry conditions in Chad as well as Senegal and Gambia.

  • Moisture deficits worsen further in southeast Sudan, Eritrea and northwest Ethiopia with a continued lack of rainfall.

15 Jul 2015 description

Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook July 16 – 22, 2015

  • Moisture increases for portions of the Senegal region; dry areas farther east show little improvement.

  • Moisture deficits deepen in southeast Sudan, Eritrea and northwest Ethiopia with a continued lack of rainfall.

08 Jul 2015 description
  • Rains increase for Nigeria and far Western Africa during the past week.

  • Local parts of southeast Sudan and northwest Ethiopia exhibit increasing rainfall deficits in recent weeks.

20 Aug 2014 description
  • Increased rains observed in West Africa during the past observation period.

  • Consistent heavy rains triggered flooding, destroyed houses, and thousands of displaced people in Sudan.

1) Inadequate rainfall distribution since early June has delayed planting and negatively affected crop development in northeastern Nigeria. Although an increase in rainfall was observed recently, continued favorable rainfall amounts are needed to overcome long-term deficits.

13 Aug 2014 description
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  • Some increase in rainfall expected across West Africa during the next outlook period.
  • Many areas of Sudan have reported flooding, house damages, and displaced people due to continued heavy rains.
06 Aug 2014 description

- Below-average rains observed across western Sahel during late July.

- Wetness continues in Eastern Africa.

1) Since early June, seasonal rainfall has been both suppressed and infrequent across northeastern Nigeria leading to a strengthening of moisture deficits. While there is a chance for some relief with increased rainfall forecast during the upcoming outlook period, anomalously dry ground conditions are expected to persist, which still may negatively impact developing crops later into the season.

30 Jul 2014 description
  • Heavy rains in parts of eastern Sudan resulted in flooding which damaged infrastructure.

  • Ground conditions continue to deteriorate due to poor rains in northeastern Nigeria, western Chad and Senegal.

02 Jul 2014 description

Locally heavy rains caused flooding and damages to infrastructure in southern Nigeria.

Above-average rains were observed across southern Sudan.

1) Heavy and above-average rains since the beginning of June have oversaturated the grounds of Sierra Leone, Liberia, southern Guinea and western Cote D’Ivoire. With heavy downpours forecast during the next outlook period, the risk for new flooding across the region will be increased.

17 Jan 2014 description

FOOD SECURITY

Somalia – Food Security

• Deterioration of food security and nutrition expected after poor Deyr rainy season. Early warning issued particularly for Hiraan, Middle and Lower Shabelle, where 550 000 people may be at risk.

• Flooding, conflict and displacement in Middle Shabelle will have further negative impact on food security and connected markets. (ECHO)

CONFLICT

South Sudan – Crisis

30 Oct 2013 description

An increase in rain across South Africa reduces early season rainfall deficits.

09 Oct 2013 description

 After a week of heavy rain, rains across bi-modal West Africa were light and below-average.

 Anomalous heavy early-season rainfall was observed across much of Mozambique.

11 Sep 2013 description

1) The onset of the rainy season was delayed by more than four weeks across southeastern Sudan, northwestern Ethiopia, and southern Eritrea. This has delayed planting, reduced planting areas, and negatively impacted crops across the region. Though an increase in rainfall has been observed since the beginning of August, seasonal rainfall deficits have been sustained over many local areas.