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11 Mar 2015 description

- Suppressed rains expected in Southern Africa during the next week. - Dry weather observed over the Greater Horn of Africa.

1) Frequent and above-average rainfall over the past several weeks has led to large moisture surpluses in northern Mozambique. During the next week, heavy rains are forecast to continue, which could trigger new flooding and exacerbate conditions on the ground.

07 Mar 2012 description
  • Despite active tropical system activities over the Mozambique Channel during - - February, eastern southern Africa has continued to experience dryness.
  • Heavy rainfall was observed across the Lake Victoria region and southern Ethiopia during the past week.
30 Aug 2006 description


Update of CPC Seasonal Outlooks at Four-Months Lead: December 2006 – February 2007 Forecasts

Southern Africa

There is a slight tilt in the odds favoring above normal rainfall over portions of eastern and central South Africa, and, locally, over northern and southwestern Angola. There is a low to moderate tilt in the odds favoring below normal rainfall across northern Mozambique, and the southern half of Malawi.

11 Dec 2003 description



Africa Weather Hazards Assessment Text Explanation December 11-17, 2003

06 Feb 2003 description

The sea surface temperatures in the Indian Ocean remain, generally, above normal. Several weeks ago we indicated that the upper level winds were not supportive of tropical cyclone activity. However, the pattern has undergone a substantial change and we have entered a period when upper level winds in the area are conducive to cyclone formation over the Indian ocean area.