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01 Jun 2006 description
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General Situation during May 2006
Forecast until mid-July 2006

19 May 2006 description

This week's report covers the following sectors: Agriculture, Coordination and Support Services, Education, Food, Health, Refugees and IDPs, Security, Shelter and Non-food Items, Water & Sanitation

31 Mar 2006 description

This week's report covers the following sectors: Agriculture, Coordination and Support Services, Education, Food, Health, Protection / Human Rights / Rule of Law, Refugees and IDPs, Security, Shelter and Non-food Items, Water & Sanitation

01 Feb 2006 description
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General Situation during January 2006
Forecast until mid-March 2006

30 Dec 2005 description
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General Situation during December 2005
Forecast until mid-February 2006

28 Dec 2005 description


Weekly Introduction
Update of Seasonal Outlooks at Four-Months Lead: April – June 2006

Northern Horn of Africa

Climatology is expected across most of the region, except locally over northwestern and southwestern Sudan, where there is a slight tilt in the odds favoring below normal rainfall. There is a slight tilt in the odds favoring above normal rainfall locally over eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and portions of Djibouti. Climatology is expected elsewhere.

Gulf of Guinea

14 Dec 2005 description


Weekly Introduction:
Update of El Niño:

Synopsis: ENSO-neutral or weak La Niña conditions are likely during the next 6-9 months.

23 Nov 2005 description


Weekly Introduction:

Update of Seasonal Outlooks at One Month Lead:

December 2005 – February 2006 Forecasts for Southern Africa:

09 Nov 2005 description


Weekly Introduction:

Final Update of the African Intertropical Convergence Zone:

02 Nov 2005 description


Weekly Introduction
Tropical Cyclone Climatology:

As we enter the tropical cyclone season for the South Indian Ocean, it is appropriate that we present the historical climatology for the number of cyclones in the area. The average number of cyclones per month is presented in the accompanying figure and we see that November represents the general start of the season with the peak in January-February. According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, the minimum number of tropical cyclones over the historical period of 1981- 2003 is 21 and the maximum number is 38.

18 Jul 2003 description

Data Source: Food and Agriculture Organisation

04 Mar 2003 description
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General Situation during February 2003
Forecast until mid-April 2003

The Desert Locust situation remained calm during February. Small-scale breeding occurred near the Red Sea coast in Sudan. There were also unconfirmed reports of adults and hoppers in northern Mali. Breeding conditions were generally dry throughout the recession area because of poor rainfall. In South-West Asia, unprecedented rains occurred in southern Pakistan, including Baluchistan where small-scale breeding is expected during the forecast period.

03 Feb 2003 description
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General Situation during January 2003
Forecast until mid-March 2003

The Desert Locust situation remained calm during January. Although conditions continued to be favourable in the winter breeding areas, no locusts have been reported in these places. Only isolated adults were present in Niger, southern Algeria and northern Somalia. There was an unconfirmed report of adults and hoppers in northern Mali. During the forecast period, small-scale breeding could occur along the Red Sea coasts. No significant developments are expected.

23 Jan 2003 description

WEEKLY AFRICAN WEATHER HAZARDS ASSESSMENT STATEMENT              
             
JANUARY 23, 2003 DISCUSSION:
     
1)   Recent rains in northern Tunisia and extreme areas in northern Algeria has resulted in saturated conditions and some local flooding.  Expect more rain throughout the period which could induce local flooding in some prone areas.