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29 May 2003 description

CCA Guidance for Sahel Rainfall in Aug-Oct 2003 at Four Months Lead

Two weeks ago we focused on the Sahel CCA guidance for June - August. This week we discuss the forecast for the period August-October actually done last month. The prediction for August-October 2003 Sahel rainfall at four months lead (see SahelASO.gif) calls for slightly higher than climatological probabilities for below normal rainfall in the area that encompasses eastern Niger, Chad, and western Sudan.

15 May 2003 description


CCA Guidance for Sahel Rainfall in June - Aug at One Month Lead