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27 May 2015 description
  • Beneficial rainfall in the driest regions of Ethiopia and Djibouti; little rainfall for eastern areas of the Horn of Africa.

  • Moisture surpluses emerge in far western portions of the Western Africa region, while deficits remain to the east.

20 May 2015 description
  • Most of the greater Horn of Africa observed a decrease in rainfall over the previous week.
  • Early season rainfall remains below normal for portions of West Africa.

1) Since late December, an unseasonable distribution of monsoonal rainfall has resulted in anomalous dryness and poor ground conditions unfavorable for crops across several local areas in southern Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, and South Africa.

13 May 2015 description
  • The first substantial rains in many weeks across rift valley regions of Ethiopia this past week may benefit grazing activities and water resources.

  • Rainfall becomes more seasonably well distributed across portions of West Africa.

1) Since late December, an unseasonable distribution of monsoonal rainfall has resulted in anomalous dryness and poor ground conditions unfavorable for crops across several local areas in southern Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, and South Africa.

06 May 2015 description
  • A continued absence of rainfall across northern Ethiopia expected to adversely affect crop and pastoral conditions.

  • Delay in onset of early monsoon rainfall continued through the 3rd dekad of April across a large portion of western Africa.

1) Since late December, an unseasonable distribution of monsoonal rainfall has resulted in anomalous dryness and poor ground conditions unfavorable for crops across several local areas in southern Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, and South Africa.

29 Apr 2015 description
  • A continued absence of rainfall across northern Ethiopia expected to adversely affect crop and pastoral conditions.
  • Largely suppressed early season rains observed during the 2nd dekad of April over much of West Africa.

1) Since late December, an unseasonable distribution of monsoonal rainfall has resulted in anomalous dryness and poor ground conditions unfavorable for crops across several local areas in southern Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, and South Africa.

22 Apr 2015 description
  • Very poor rains across northern Ethiopia expected to negatively affect “Belg” season cropping activities.

  • Average to above-average rains continue across parts of Kenya, Tanzania, and southern Somalia.

15 Apr 2015 description

Increased amounts of rainfall leads to favorable moisture conditions over parts of eastern Ethiopia, southern Somalia.

Late season dryness observed over parts of Malawi and Mozambique.

01 Apr 2015 description
  • Widespread, favorable rains observed over Southern Africa during the past week.
  • Below-average rainfall persists in central Ethiopia.

1) Since late December, an unseasonable distribution of monsoonal rainfall has resulted in anomalous dryness across a broad portion of southern Africa. Low seasonal precipitation totals and untimely dry spells has negatively affected ground conditions and is likely to lead crop reductions for several local areas in southern Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, and South Africa.

25 Mar 2015 description
  • Several anomalously dry areas expected to receive above-average rainfall during the next week.
  • Much of Ethiopia received a large increase in seasonal rains during mid-March.
18 Mar 2015 description
  • Heavy and above-average rains caused flooding and fatalities in western Angola.

  • Onset of the rainy season expected in Eastern Africa during the next week.

1) Since late December, a sharp reduction in rainfall has resulted in mid-season dryness across parts of southern Angola, western Zambia, northern Namibia into the Caprivi Strip region, and the Ghanzi and Ngamiland districts of Botswana. The continuation of suppressed rainfall is expected to negatively impact crops.

11 Mar 2015 description

- Suppressed rains expected in Southern Africa during the next week. - Dry weather observed over the Greater Horn of Africa.

1) Frequent and above-average rainfall over the past several weeks has led to large moisture surpluses in northern Mozambique. During the next week, heavy rains are forecast to continue, which could trigger new flooding and exacerbate conditions on the ground.

04 Mar 2015 description
  • Consistent heavy rains caused fatalities, flooding, and landslides in Madagascar.

  • A slow start to the rainy season observed in southwestern Ethiopia.

09 Apr 2014 description
  • Average to above average seasonal rainfall continues throughout many parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.

  • The weakening of precipitation associated with the departure of the monsoon was observed across southern Africa.

03 Apr 2014 description
  • The continued suppression of rainfall suggests an early cessation of the monsoon over parts of southern Africa.
  • Increased rains observed over the Afar and highland regions of Ethiopia during late March.

1) Heavy and above-average rains over the past few weeks have increased rainfall surpluses and resulted in flooding across the Omusati region along the Angola-Namibian border. The inundation has led to the closure of several schools in the area. Moderate to heavy rains are forecast to continue during the next week.

26 Mar 2014 description

A decrease in rainfall has been recorded over Southern Africa during the past week.

A favorable start of the March-May season has been observed over the Greater Horn of Africa.

19 Mar 2014 description
  • A favorable distribution of rainfall was observed over Southern Africa during the past week.

  • Widespread and above-average rains fell across the Greater Horn of Africa during the past week.

12 Mar 2014 description

1) Heavy downpours over the past few weeks have caused the overflowing of the Licungo River across the Zambezia province of northern Mozambique. The flooding has negatively affected the livelihoods of many residents of the Namacura and Maganja da Costa districts. Light rains are expected during the next week, which could sustain oversaturation and worsen conditions on the ground.

05 Mar 2014 description

 Heavy downpours have caused flooding in north-central Zambia, southern Zimbabwe, and northern Mozambique.

 Light to moderate rains were observed over the Greater Horn of Africa during the past observation period.

1) Heavy downpours during the past week have caused the Licungo River to burst its banks, inundating expansive cropping areas, infrastructure, and houses downstream. Although reduced rains are forecast over the region during the next week, any additional rain may exacerbate the ground conditions, including elevated risks for waterborne disease outbreaks.

04 Dec 2013 description

Abnormal dryness has settled in across eastern Southern Africa due to a poor rainfall distribution during November.

1) While some local areas observed some moisture recovery along the Jubba River basin in southern Somalia during mid-November, the absence of precipitation in October has led to significant moisture deficits across many parts of southern Somalia and eastern Kenya. This dryness is likely to negatively impact the development of crops, and pastoral conditions with little opportunity for recovery before the end of the rains season.

06 Nov 2013 description
  • The passage of a weak tropical disturbance is expected to produce heavy amounts of rainfall over northern Somalia.
  • Poor October rainfall across parts of central and eastern Kenya, as well as, southern Somalia lead to strengthening moisture deficits in the region.

1) The development of a tropical disturbance in the northwestern Indian Ocean is expected to move west and bring significantly heavy amounts of rainfall across the Gulf of Aden and Somalia.