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06 May 2015 description
  • A continued absence of rainfall across northern Ethiopia expected to adversely affect crop and pastoral conditions.

  • Delay in onset of early monsoon rainfall continued through the 3rd dekad of April across a large portion of western Africa.

1) Since late December, an unseasonable distribution of monsoonal rainfall has resulted in anomalous dryness and poor ground conditions unfavorable for crops across several local areas in southern Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, and South Africa.

29 Apr 2015 description
  • A continued absence of rainfall across northern Ethiopia expected to adversely affect crop and pastoral conditions.
  • Largely suppressed early season rains observed during the 2nd dekad of April over much of West Africa.

1) Since late December, an unseasonable distribution of monsoonal rainfall has resulted in anomalous dryness and poor ground conditions unfavorable for crops across several local areas in southern Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, and South Africa.

22 Apr 2015 description
  • Very poor rains across northern Ethiopia expected to negatively affect “Belg” season cropping activities.

  • Average to above-average rains continue across parts of Kenya, Tanzania, and southern Somalia.

15 Apr 2015 description

Increased amounts of rainfall leads to favorable moisture conditions over parts of eastern Ethiopia, southern Somalia.

Late season dryness observed over parts of Malawi and Mozambique.

08 Apr 2015 description
  • Decreased rains received over Ethiopia have resulted in strengthening seasonal moisture deficits.

  • Late surge of heavy rainfall continued over portions of Southern Africa.

01 Apr 2015 description
  • Widespread, favorable rains observed over Southern Africa during the past week.
  • Below-average rainfall persists in central Ethiopia.

1) Since late December, an unseasonable distribution of monsoonal rainfall has resulted in anomalous dryness across a broad portion of southern Africa. Low seasonal precipitation totals and untimely dry spells has negatively affected ground conditions and is likely to lead crop reductions for several local areas in southern Angola, Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, and South Africa.

25 Mar 2015 description
  • Several anomalously dry areas expected to receive above-average rainfall during the next week.
  • Much of Ethiopia received a large increase in seasonal rains during mid-March.
18 Mar 2015 description
  • Heavy and above-average rains caused flooding and fatalities in western Angola.

  • Onset of the rainy season expected in Eastern Africa during the next week.

1) Since late December, a sharp reduction in rainfall has resulted in mid-season dryness across parts of southern Angola, western Zambia, northern Namibia into the Caprivi Strip region, and the Ghanzi and Ngamiland districts of Botswana. The continuation of suppressed rainfall is expected to negatively impact crops.

11 Mar 2015 description

- Suppressed rains expected in Southern Africa during the next week. - Dry weather observed over the Greater Horn of Africa.

1) Frequent and above-average rainfall over the past several weeks has led to large moisture surpluses in northern Mozambique. During the next week, heavy rains are forecast to continue, which could trigger new flooding and exacerbate conditions on the ground.

04 Mar 2015 description
  • Consistent heavy rains caused fatalities, flooding, and landslides in Madagascar.

  • A slow start to the rainy season observed in southwestern Ethiopia.

05 Nov 2014 description
  • Both poor seasonal rainfall and downstream flooding along the Jubba and Shabelle Rivers are expected to negatively affect many local areas in southern Somalia.
  • The continued delays in rains lead to strengthening moisture deficits across several areas in Angola and South Africa.
29 Oct 2014 description
  • Another week of poorly distributed rains across the Greater Horn has led to strengthening deficits in southern Somalia.

  • In southern Africa, a delayed start of monsoonal rains observed in parts of Angola and South Africa.

1) As the rainfall season ends across Senegal and harvesting begins, impacts from poorly distributed rains during the summer months and a delayed onset to the rainfall season in July which resulted in deteriorated conditions could impact crop yields.

22 Oct 2014 description
  • Torrential rains continued across much of saturated and flood-affected South Sudan.

  • Bi-modal regions of the Gulf of Guinea observed a second week of below-average rain.

1) As the rainfall season ends across Senegal and harvesting begins, impacts from poorly distributed rains during the summer months and a delayed onset to the rainfall season in July which resulted in deteriorated conditions could impact crop yields.

15 Oct 2014 description
  • Heavy rains in South Sudan resulted in flooding and localized landslides during the past two weeks.

  • Below-average rain was observed across bi-modal areas in West Africa.

1) Despite a seasonable return of precipitation during August, moisture deficits have persisted in northwestern Senegal. The delayed onset of the season in July has already resulted in deteriorated conditions and affected crops on the ground.

08 Oct 2014 description

1) Despite a seasonable return of precipitation during August, moisture deficits have persisted in northwestern Senegal. The delayed onset of the season in July has already resulted in deteriorated conditions and affected crops on the ground.

2) Poor seasonal rainfall since the middle of August, including prolonged dry spells, has led to late-season moisture deficits that have negatively impacted crop development throughout parts of the Tillaberi region of southwestern Niger and eastern Mali. Below average rains are forecast in the region for the upcoming outlook period.

01 Oct 2014 description
  • Favorable, late-season rains continued throughout many regions of West Africa during the last week.
  • Significantly heavy rainfall forecast over northern Somalia and eastern Ethiopia.

1) Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi zones in central Oromia of central Ethiopia.

24 Sep 2014 description
  • Favorable, late-season rains were received throughout many regions of West Africa during the last week.

  • A seasonable distribution of rains was received across East Africa during late September.

1) Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi zones in central Oromia of central Ethiopia.

17 Sep 2014 description
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  • Seasonal shower activity weakens, leaving many anomalously dry areas as the ITCZ/ITF withdraws across the Sahel.
  • Heavy September rains lead to flooding, and damaged crops throughout many parts of Uganda.
10 Sep 2014 description
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  • A seasonable distribution of rainfall was received across parts of the Sahel during the last week.
  • Little relief to seasonal dryness was observed throughout parts of central Ethiopia.

1) Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi zones in central Oromia of central Ethiopia.

03 Sep 2014 description
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  • Suppressed seasonal rains were received across the western Sahel during late August.
  • Enhanced rains continued over western Ethiopia, eastern Sudan and eastern South Sudan.

1) Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi zones in central Oromia of central Ethiopia.