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28 Jun 2007 description

Paul Bartel and Jordan Muller

Executive Summary

The Horn of Africa (HOA), composed of Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia, suffers frequent natural disasters that commonly result in losses of life, destruction of infrastructure, and reduction of agricultural production. Formulating effective contingencies to respond to such emergencies is constrained by a limited understanding of the likelihood of a natural hazard occurring within a particular region and risks associated with that hazard.

15 May 2007 description


World cereal production in 2007 remains on course to reach a record level of 2 095 million tonnes, but with some major crops yet to be planted, the forecast is still tentative.

Based on the current 2007 production outlook, global cereal supplies are forecast to increase in the new 2007/08 marketing season.

19 Apr 2007 description

Locust situation slowly improving on Red Sea coast

Although Desert Locust infestations are gradually declining along both sides of the Red Sea and in the Horn of Africa, survey and control operations must be maintained in affected countries.

Aerial control operations ended on the Red Sea coast in Eritrea and Sudan as locust infestations have declined and there is a shortage of avgas. A few swarms reached the Tokar Delta and the nearby coast and laid eggs. Consequently, a third generation of hatching is underway and small bands are forming locally.