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31 Oct 2018 description

Rainfall expected to increase, signaling the full onset of the October to December seasonal rains

KEY MESSAGES

• The onset of the October to December seasonal rains during the first three weeks of October was generally erratic in terms of intensity and spatial and temporal distribution across East Africa.
The start of the Deyr was delayed one to three weeks in Somalia and parts of Ethiopia, most notably in the agropastoral livelihood zones of southern Somalia.

08 Oct 2018 description

Northern seasonal rains forecast to typically subside and likely timely onset for October rains

KEY MESSAGES

  • The June to September seasonal rains gradually subsided in late September, marking the cessation of persistent well aboveaverage rainfall amounts across most of the northern sector, which led to widespread flooding in Sudan. However, some areas of the region experienced significant cumulative seasonal deficits, including some central areas of Ethiopia, eastern and central South Sudan, and northern and eastern Uganda.

13 Sep 2018 description

PROJECTED FOOD ASSISTANCE NEEDS FOR MARCH 2019

12 Sep 2018 description

Flood risk remains high over parts of Nigeria, as heavy rainfall is expected to continue

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Heavy rainfall caused flooding in western and southern Nigeria. The forecast rain during the next week increases the risks for flooding over the region.

  2. Torrential rain has increased the level of the Atbara and Dindir Rivers. Additional rainfall over the region is likely to further raise water levels, including the Nile River and its tributaries.

11 Sep 2018 description

KEY MESSAGES

  • During the month of August, Sudan continued to receive significantly above-average rainfall, which caused additional widespread flooding, fatalities, livestock and crop losses, and infrastructure damage. As moderate to localized heavy rainfall is forecast over the next two weeks, particularly in southern areas, a heightened flood-risk is expected through mid-September.

06 Sep 2018 description

Despite a recent improvement in rainfall, dryness remains over parts of East Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Heavy rainfall caused flooding in western and southern Nigeria. The forecast rain during the next week increases the risks for flooding over the region.

  2. Torrential rain has increased the level of the Atbara and Dindir Rivers. Additional rainfall over the region is likely to further raise water levels, including the Nile River and its tributaries.

30 Aug 2018 description

Rains shift south over West Africa and Eastern Africa records average rainfall

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Weeks of abovenormal rainfall have caused river levels to rise.
    This includes the Volta River, where water has been released from the Bagre Dam in Burkina Faso causing downstream flooding.

  2. Above-average rainfall has damaged infrastructure and caused fatalities in Sudan. Continuing rainfall may trigger additional floods through early September.

22 Aug 2018 description

Flooding continues in West Africa, while dryness strengthens in Ethiopia

18 Aug 2018 description

Key Messages

  • Since mid-July, persistent and well above-average seasonal rains in Sudan caused significant levels of flooding. According to reports, over 45,000 people have been affected in West Kordofan, Kassala, El Gezira, Sennar, and Northern states. Meanwhile, large areas of western Ethiopia, southeastern South Sudan, and northern Uganda have experienced significant rainfall deficits for the past month, resulting in soil and crop moisture stress.

16 Aug 2018 description

Flooding recorded in the Sahel, while dryness strengthens in Ethiopia

  1. The forecast for abovenormal rains during the outlook period is likely to cause flooding in Mali, Burkina Faso, and western Niger.

  2. Several weeks of above-average rainfall has damaged infrastructure and caused fatalities in Sudan. Continuing rainfall may trigger additional floods through mid-August.

16 Aug 2018 description

PROJECTED FOOD ASSISTANCE NEEDS FOR FEBRUARY 2019

28 Jul 2018 description

Enhanced seasonal rains and likely flooding are forecast for northern parts of the region

KEY MESSAGES

  • June to September seasonal rains are fully established in the northern sector of the region, as above-average rainfall amounts have been received across parts of Sudan, western Ethiopia, and northern South Sudan, helping ease localized early season deficits. These enhanced rains have largely benefited early season agricultural activities in these countries.

26 Jul 2018 description

Heavy rainfall triggers flooding in the Sahel

  1. Since mid-July, torrential rains received in western Nigeria have triggered floods, damages to infrastructure and fatalities in the Ogun and Katsina states of the country.

  2. Locally torrential rainfall forecast over parts of western Sudan and eastern Chad may trigger flooding next week.

  3. Irregular rainfall since June has resulted in significant moisture deficits and deteriorated ground conditions across parts of western Uganda, northeastern DRC, and southern South Sudan.

16 Jul 2018 description

PROJECTED FOOD ASSISTANCE NEEDS FOR JANUARY 2019

07 Jul 2018 description

Above-average rainfall received in the north, with increasing risk of early season floods

KEY MESSAGES

15 Jun 2018 description

PROJECTED FOOD ASSISTANCE NEEDS FOR DECEMBER 2018

12 May 2018 description

Heavy rainfall and further flooding expected across East Africa through the end of May

10 May 2018 description

PROJECTED FOOD ASSISTANCE NEEDS FOR NOVEMBER 2018

03 May 2018 description

Summary Points

  • In Eastern Africa, staple commodity prices generally followed seasonal trends in Uganda, Kenya, and Somalia, but atypical price trends were observed in Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, and Tanzania (FEWS NET Price Watch, March 2018). Prices are expected to follow seasonal trends through June 2018, remaining below last year and five year USD prices due to a combination of currency depreciation, better production than 2017, and regional imports.