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12 Apr 2006 description


Weekly Introduction:
Intertropical Convergence Zone Analysis (ITCZ) Re-Initiated:

On April 1 we re-initiated the program to depict the dekadal position of the ITCZ along with a comparison with its normal position at the following site: http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/fews/ITCZ/itcz.html. The ten-day average ITCZ position is plotted and compared with the estimated rainfall for that period and the first plot for the season will cover April 1-10.

Armyworm Update:

26 May 2004 description


CCA Guidance for September - October - November at Four Months Lead This week we focus on the outlooks for September - November for east Africa, divided into two areas.
East Africa

The outlook for Sep-Nov 2004 East Africa rainfall at four months lead show climatology in all areas, except locally over western Uganda, where there is a tilt in the odds favoring above average rainfall (eafSON4.gif).

Northern Horn of Africa