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21 Oct 2015 description

Heavy rains have continued for far western Gulf of Guinea, while much drier conditions prevailed farther east across West Africa.

Heavy rain continues for portions of East Africa raising flooding concerns.

1) Poorly distributed rainfall has resulted in drought, which has severely impacted ground conditions and already led to livestock death across parts of northcentral and eastern Ethiopia.

05 Nov 2014 description
  • Both poor seasonal rainfall and downstream flooding along the Jubba and Shabelle Rivers are expected to negatively affect many local areas in southern Somalia.
  • The continued delays in rains lead to strengthening moisture deficits across several areas in Angola and South Africa.
25 Jun 2014 description
  • Increased rains observed over the central parts of West Africa.

  • Slow start of the June-September rains observed over parts of Eastern Africa.

18 Jun 2014 description

Favorable rainfall distribution observed across the western parts of West Africa.

Marginal rainfall continues in Eastern Africa.

1) Poor rainfall distribution during the March-May rainfall season had negatively impacted agricultural and pastoral activities throughout western Kenya, parts of northeastern Uganda, southeastern South Sudan, and northwestern Tanzania. Limited rains are forecast over southern Ethiopia and northwestern Kenya during the next week, which could sustain poor conditions on the ground.

11 Jun 2014 description
  • Rainfall deficits have increased over portions of West Africa.
  • Slightly reduced rains observed in Eastern Africa.

1) Poor rainfall distribution during the March-May rainfall season had negatively impacted agricultural and pastoral activities throughout western Kenya, parts of northeastern Uganda, southeastern South Sudan, and northwestern Tanzania. Although some areas could still receive enhanced rains over the next week, the ending rainy season could worsen conditions further on the ground.

04 Jun 2014 description

Rainfall forecasts suggest no respite in wetness across far western West Africa during the next outlook period.

An irregular distribution of rainfall was observed in Eastern Africa during the March-May rainy season.

23 Apr 2014 description
  • Decreased amounts of precipitation were observed across parts of Ethiopia during the middle of April
20 Nov 2013 description

Drier conditions expected during the next week across East Africa, following anomalously heavy rainfall in mid-November.

06 Nov 2013 description
  • The passage of a weak tropical disturbance is expected to produce heavy amounts of rainfall over northern Somalia.
  • Poor October rainfall across parts of central and eastern Kenya, as well as, southern Somalia lead to strengthening moisture deficits in the region.

1) The development of a tropical disturbance in the northwestern Indian Ocean is expected to move west and bring significantly heavy amounts of rainfall across the Gulf of Aden and Somalia.

30 Oct 2013 description

An increase in rain across South Africa reduces early season rainfall deficits.

22 Nov 2012 description

Increased rainfall during the last week helped to improve mid-season dryness across Kenya and Somalia, however moderate seasonal deficits remain for many local areas.

1) Even with a reduction of precipitation last week, several weeks of above-average rainfall has led to significant moisture surpluses. An elevated potential for moderate to heavy rainfall may trigger additional flooding, damage local infrastructure, and negatively impact cropping activities throughout Uganda, Kenya, northern Tanzania,
Rwanda and Burundi.