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11 Oct 2018 description

Tropical cyclone Luban is expected to bring heavy rains to Yemen and Oman

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Heavy rainfall in previous weeks has resulted in overflowing of the Niger and Benue Rivers of Nigeria. Moderate to heavy rainfall is forecast to continue, maintaining high risks for flooding.

02 Jan 2018 description

Global Overview DECEMBER 2017

17 Aug 2017 description

Heavy rainfall in the western Gulf of Guinea triggers flooding and damages to infrastructure

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Above-normal rainfall since July has elevated the risk for flooding in southeastern Sudan and parts of western Ethiopia. Heavy rainfall is forecast for mid to late August.

  2. Despite increased moisture in early August, poorly distributed rainfall across parts of Eritrea, Ethiopia,
    Djibouti, and western Somalia since early July have led to high seasonal moisture deficits.

10 Aug 2017 description

Despite heavy rains in other parts of East Africa, dryness remains in northern Ethiopia and Eritrea

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Several weeks of above-normal rainfall has led to saturated ground conditions and increased the risk of flooding in Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan. Heavy rainfall is forecast over the region during early August.

28 Jul 2017 description

Flooding observed in Nigeria and heavy rain continues in Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan

  1. Below-average rainfall since mid-May has led to abnormal dryness across eastern Uganda and southwestern Kenya. Moisture deficits are likely to negatively impact cropping and Pastoral activities.

  2. Repeated weeks of very heavy, above-normal rains have oversaturated the ground in parts of Ethiopia, Sudan, and South Sudan. More heavy rain during the next week is likely to cause further flooding.

16 Jun 2017 description

Rainfall continues over most of West Africa and northern East Africa

  1. Below-average rainfall since late February has resulted in moisture deficits throughout many parts of southern South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Ethiopia, Somalia, and northern Tanzania.

  2. Limited rainfall since March has led to developing moisture deficits across parts of Liberia, Cote d’Ivoire, and southern Guinea.

19 May 2017 description

Despite recent seasonal rainfall, moisture deficits remain in central Kenya and Somalia

  1. Following rains during early March, significant long-term moisture deficits remain throughout central and eastern Madagascar.

  2. Inconsistent rainfall since late December has led to continued dryness across many parts of western Angola.

01 Dec 2016 description

Global Overview NOVEMBER 2016

02 Nov 2016 description

Global Overview OCTOBER 2016

02 Sep 2016 description

CrisisWatch is a monthly early warning bulletin designed to provide a regular update on the state of the most significant situations of conflict around the world.

Global Overview, August 2016

12 Aug 2016 description

Flooding risks remain over East and West Africa, while Central America remains drier than normal

Africa Weather Hazards

06 Aug 2016 description

The passage of Tropical Storm EARL expected to partially mitigate dryness over Central America

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Consistent and aboveaverage rain over the past few weeks has led to moisture surpluses throughout much of Eastern Africa. Torrential rain is forecast to continue over western Sudan and the highlands of Ethiopia and Eritrea, likely to elevate the River Nile and Al Gash River levels further and potentially resulting in flooding over many areas of Sudan during the next week.

29 Jul 2016 description
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Heavy rains may lead to flooding in East and West Africa, dryness persists in Central America

  1. Consistent and above average rain over the past few weeks has led to moisture surpluses throughout much of Eastern Africa. Torrential rain is forecast to continue over western Sudan and the highlands of Ethiopia and Eritrea, which is likely to raise the River Nile and Al Gash River levels further and potentially result in flooding over many areas of Sudan during the next week.

01 Jul 2016 description

Global Overview – Trends and Outlook

01 Jul 2016 description

Little relief to dryness expected over Guatemala and Honduras

Africa Weather Hazards

02 May 2016 description

The month saw fighting escalate again in Syria and Afghanistan, and erupt in Nagorno-Karabakh between Armenian-backed separatists and Azerbaijani forces. In Bangladesh, election violence and killings by extremist groups showed how new heights of government-opposition rivalry and state repression have benefitted violent political party wings and extremist groups alike. Political tensions intensified in Iraq and Macedonia, and security forces severely supressed opposition protests in the Republic of Congo and Gambia.

02 Apr 2016 description

The month saw violent extremist movements, including the Islamic State (IS) and al-Qaeda-linked groups, carry out major deadly attacks in Turkey, Pakistan, Côte d’Ivoire, Tunisia and Belgium. In Libya, the arrival of Prime Minister Serraj in Tripoli despite warnings from multiple factions could lead to further destabilisation. Meanwhile in Central Africa, political violence rose in Burundi and could break out in Chad around the 10 April presidential election.

02 Mar 2016 description

The month saw conflict continue to rage in Turkey’s south east between Ankara and the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), looking likely to further escalate in March. Afghanistan and Somalia both saw armed insurgencies capture new territories. In Africa, political tensions rose in Chad, Mozambique and Zimbabwe, while in Venezuela, deadlock between the opposition-held parliament and government has brought the country closer to political and economic implosion.

02 Feb 2016 description

The month saw an intensification of Yemen’s war, amid heightened regional rivalries between Saudi Arabia and Iran complicating prospects for peace. Political tensions increased in Haiti, Guinea-Bissau and Moldova, where protests over endemic corruption and a lack of confidence in the government could escalate. In Africa, Boko Haram’s deadly attacks increased in northern Cameroon, and Burkina Faso was hit by an unprecedented terror attack.