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09 Sep 2015 description
  • Although decreased rains are expected in West Africa, high ground moisture sustains the risk for floods.
  • Poorly distributed rains strengthen seasonal deficits over parts of central Ethiopia, South Sudan and Uganda

1) While a recent increase in August precipitation is expected to lead to more favorable ground moisture, a delayed onset and uneven rainfall distribution observed during the June-September season may negatively impact cropping and pastoral conditions in the region.

02 Sep 2015 description

- Above-average seasonal rainfall continues over several regions of West Africa.
- Poorly distributed rains strengthen seasonal deficits over parts of central Ethiopia.

1) While a recent increase in August precipitation is expected to lead to more favorable ground moisture, a delayed onset and uneven rainfall distribution observed during the June-September season may negatively impact cropping and pastoral conditions in the region.

29 Jul 2015 description

Abnormally wet conditions are continuing for several nations in the western Gulf of Guinea region

Moisture deficits worsen further in southeast Sudan, Eritrea and parts of Ethiopia with a continued lack of rainfall.

22 Jul 2015 description

Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook July 23 – 30, 2015

  • A delayed onset of rainfall is leading to abnormally dry conditions in Chad as well as Senegal and Gambia.

  • Moisture deficits worsen further in southeast Sudan, Eritrea and northwest Ethiopia with a continued lack of rainfall.

15 Jul 2015 description

Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook July 16 – 22, 2015

  • Moisture increases for portions of the Senegal region; dry areas farther east show little improvement.

  • Moisture deficits deepen in southeast Sudan, Eritrea and northwest Ethiopia with a continued lack of rainfall.

08 Jul 2015 description
  • Rains increase for Nigeria and far Western Africa during the past week.

  • Local parts of southeast Sudan and northwest Ethiopia exhibit increasing rainfall deficits in recent weeks.

01 Jul 2015 description
  • A slight decrease in rainfall was observed over West Africa during the past week.

  • Parts of Eastern Africa have received below-average rain since the beginning of the season.

1) A delayed onset of the rainy season, followed by poorly-distributed rainfall, has led to abnormal dryness across Burkina Faso, the northern parts of Ghana, Togo, and Benin, western and southern Niger, and northern Nigeria, The lack of rainfall over the past several weeks has delayed planting and has already negatively affected cropping activities over many local areas.

24 Jun 2015 description
  • Drier than average conditions observed in southeastern Senegal and western Mali.

  • Favorable rainfall distribution continues over the Greater Horn of Africa.

1) A delayed onset of the rainy season, followed by poorly-distributed rainfall, has led to abnormal dryness across Burkina Faso, the northern parts of Ghana, Togo, and Benin, western and southern Niger, and northern Nigeria, The lack of rainfall over the past several weeks has delayed planting and has already negatively affected cropping activities over many local areas.

17 Jun 2015 description
  • Despite a recent improvement in rainfall, dryness has persisted over parts of West Africa.

  • Below-average rainfall observed in northwestern Ethiopia and central South Sudan since the start of the season.

1) An uneven distribution of the March-May rain has adversely impacted crops and ground conditions over the SNNP, central and Belg-producing areas of Ethiopia, eastern Eritrea, and Djibouti. As the March-May season had already ended, recovery is unlikely.

10 Jun 2015 description
  • Abnormal dryness has settled in across West Africa due to insufficient rains since the start of the season.

  • Seasonal rains continue in Eastern Africa.

1) An uneven distribution of the March-May rains had adversely impacted crops and ground conditions over the SNNP, central and Belgproducing areas of Ethiopia, eastern Eritrea, and Djibouti. As the March-May season had already ended, recovery is unlikely.

03 Jun 2015 description

- The onset of the rainy season has been sluggish over West Africa, but an increase in rainfall is expected during the next week.

1) An uneven distribution of the March-May rains had adversely impacted crops and ground conditions over the SNNP, central and Belg-producing areas of Ethiopia, eastern Eritrea, and Djibouti. As the March-May season has already ended, recovery is unlikely.

22 Oct 2014 description
  • Torrential rains continued across much of saturated and flood-affected South Sudan.

  • Bi-modal regions of the Gulf of Guinea observed a second week of below-average rain.

1) As the rainfall season ends across Senegal and harvesting begins, impacts from poorly distributed rains during the summer months and a delayed onset to the rainfall season in July which resulted in deteriorated conditions could impact crop yields.

15 Oct 2014 description
  • Heavy rains in South Sudan resulted in flooding and localized landslides during the past two weeks.

  • Below-average rain was observed across bi-modal areas in West Africa.

1) Despite a seasonable return of precipitation during August, moisture deficits have persisted in northwestern Senegal. The delayed onset of the season in July has already resulted in deteriorated conditions and affected crops on the ground.

08 Oct 2014 description

1) Despite a seasonable return of precipitation during August, moisture deficits have persisted in northwestern Senegal. The delayed onset of the season in July has already resulted in deteriorated conditions and affected crops on the ground.

2) Poor seasonal rainfall since the middle of August, including prolonged dry spells, has led to late-season moisture deficits that have negatively impacted crop development throughout parts of the Tillaberi region of southwestern Niger and eastern Mali. Below average rains are forecast in the region for the upcoming outlook period.

01 Oct 2014 description
  • Favorable, late-season rains continued throughout many regions of West Africa during the last week.
  • Significantly heavy rainfall forecast over northern Somalia and eastern Ethiopia.

1) Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi zones in central Oromia of central Ethiopia.

03 Sep 2014 description
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  • Suppressed seasonal rains were received across the western Sahel during late August.
  • Enhanced rains continued over western Ethiopia, eastern Sudan and eastern South Sudan.

1) Below-average rains during the Belg season and a late onset of the Kiremt rains have led to persistent moisture deficits, which have delayed planting and negatively affected the development of already-planted crops over the Arsi and West Arsi zones in central Oromia of central Ethiopia.

20 Aug 2014 description
  • Increased rains observed in West Africa during the past observation period.

  • Consistent heavy rains triggered flooding, destroyed houses, and thousands of displaced people in Sudan.

1) Inadequate rainfall distribution since early June has delayed planting and negatively affected crop development in northeastern Nigeria. Although an increase in rainfall was observed recently, continued favorable rainfall amounts are needed to overcome long-term deficits.

06 Aug 2014 description

- Below-average rains observed across western Sahel during late July.

- Wetness continues in Eastern Africa.

1) Since early June, seasonal rainfall has been both suppressed and infrequent across northeastern Nigeria leading to a strengthening of moisture deficits. While there is a chance for some relief with increased rainfall forecast during the upcoming outlook period, anomalously dry ground conditions are expected to persist, which still may negatively impact developing crops later into the season.

30 Jul 2014 description
  • Heavy rains in parts of eastern Sudan resulted in flooding which damaged infrastructure.

  • Ground conditions continue to deteriorate due to poor rains in northeastern Nigeria, western Chad and Senegal.