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30 Dec 2005 description
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General Situation during December 2005
Forecast until mid-February 2006

28 Dec 2005 description


Weekly Introduction
Update of Seasonal Outlooks at Four-Months Lead: April – June 2006

Northern Horn of Africa

Climatology is expected across most of the region, except locally over northwestern and southwestern Sudan, where there is a slight tilt in the odds favoring below normal rainfall. There is a slight tilt in the odds favoring above normal rainfall locally over eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and portions of Djibouti. Climatology is expected elsewhere.

Gulf of Guinea

14 Dec 2005 description


Weekly Introduction:
Update of El Niño:

Synopsis: ENSO-neutral or weak La Niña conditions are likely during the next 6-9 months.

23 Nov 2005 description


Weekly Introduction:

Update of Seasonal Outlooks at One Month Lead:

December 2005 – February 2006 Forecasts for Southern Africa:

09 Nov 2005 description


Weekly Introduction:

Final Update of the African Intertropical Convergence Zone:

02 Nov 2005 description


Weekly Introduction
Tropical Cyclone Climatology:

As we enter the tropical cyclone season for the South Indian Ocean, it is appropriate that we present the historical climatology for the number of cyclones in the area. The average number of cyclones per month is presented in the accompanying figure and we see that November represents the general start of the season with the peak in January-February. According to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center, the minimum number of tropical cyclones over the historical period of 1981- 2003 is 21 and the maximum number is 38.

25 Aug 2005 description

Most of the current Desert Locust activity is concentrated along both sides of the Chad/Sudan border and on the Red Sea coastal plains in northeast Eritrea. In the past few days, there have been a few unconfi rmed reports of swarms in Chad. Ground control operations are in progress in the three countries. Local breeding is underway in the interior of Yemen. The situation is calmer in the western part of the Sahel in West Africa where only low numbers of solitarious adults have been detected in Mauritania, Mali and Niger.

21 Jul 2005 description

21 July 2005, Rome - Intensive and wide-ranging locust monitoring and control operations need to be continued in the next months in frontline countries in the Sahel such as Chad, Mali, Mauritania, Niger and Sudan, FAO said today.

05 Jul 2005 description
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General Situation during June 2005
Forecast until mid-August 2005

10 Jun 2005 description

ROME -- President Olusegun Obasanjo of Nigeria and the Executive Director of the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP), James Morris, today called for greater efforts to eradicate child hunger and malnutrition in Africa, ahead of next month's summit of the G8 leading industrialised countries in Scotland.

President Obasanjo, who was in Rome for discussions with Morris and to address WFP's governing Executive Board, said Nigeria was working with WFP and other agencies to give agriculture and food security pride of place.

03 Mar 2005 description


Weekly Introduction:

June-August 2005 Forecasts

Sahel:

There is a low to moderate tilt in the odds favoring above normal across central Sahel from western Mali into central Niger. Climatology is expected elsewhere.

Northern Horn of Africa:

The outlook for June-August 2005 at four months lead calls for a slight tilt in the odds favoring above normal rainfall over portions of northern and central Ethiopia. Climatology is expected elsewhere.

Gulf of Guinea Region: