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01 Dec 2018 description

Second season bimodal harvests begin, while Karamoja endures harsh dry season

Key Messages

01 Dec 2018 description

Near-average Season A harvests expected

Key Messages

01 Dec 2018 description

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year.

01 Dec 2018 description

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year.

01 Dec 2018 description

Le Réseau de systèmes d’alerte précoce contre la famine (FEWS NET) surveille les tendances des prix des aliments de base dans les pays vulnérables à l'insécurité alimentaire. Pour chaque pays et chaque région couvert par FEWS NET, le Bulletin des prix fournit un ensemble de graphiques indiquant les prix mensuels de l’année commerciale en cours pour certains centres urbains, et permettant à l’utilisateur de comparer les tendances actuelles à la fois aux moyennes quinquennales, qui indiquent les tendances saisonnières, et aux prix de l'année précédente.

21 Nov 2018 description

Delayed planting season in the Ruzizi Plain due to the late arrival of rain

21 Nov 2018 description

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The Climate Prediction Centre is predicting El Niño climatic conditions during the main 2018-19 growing season with 70-75% probability while IRI has increased the probability to more than 85%. Furthermore, the forecasts suggest a likelihood of a weak to moderate El Niño event. Historically El Niño climatic conditions have resulted in reduced rainfall across the southern part of Southern Africa.

21 Nov 2018 description

Messages clés

  • Le retour tardif des pluies tel que prévu par la NOAA/CPC, de 2-3 décades, dans la partie Centre-est du pays se sont bien manifestées notamment sur la plaine de la Ruzizi où les ménages agricoles viennent de terminer le semis des principaux vivriers en ce début du mois de novembre. Cependant, ceux de la partie Nord-est qui ont semé plus tôt, s’activent aux travaux d’entretien des champs. On pourrait s’attendre à des récoltes échelonnées dans le temps, lesquelles pourraient intervenir à partir de mi-décembre 2018.

17 Nov 2018 description

Highlights

  • Most parts of the region are experiencing a slow start to the rainfall season, with below average early rainfall received early in the season

  • Short term forecasts suggest that the slow onset of rains will continue until at least late November, potentially delaying planting of summer season crops in several areas

  • Seasonal forecasts suggest high chances for normal to below normal rains in many areas this year, with implications for crop production potential

Regional Summary

12 Nov 2018 description

• The volume of monitored commodities increased significantly by 44 percent in the month of May owing to increased availability from on-going harvests.

• Maize grain traded increased by 31 percent, with flows from Mozambique to Malawi being highest (Table 1).

• Volumes of maize meal traded increased by 94 percent. Flows from Zambia to DRC have been dominant (Table 2).

• Rice volumes increased marginally by 6 percent, with flows from Tanzania to Zambia being largest (Table 3).

03 Nov 2018 description

Les conflits continuent à perturber les moyens d’existence des ménages dans les zones affectées

Messages clés

01 Nov 2018 description

Limited distribution of inputs may reduce poor households’ Season A yields

key messages

01 Nov 2018 description

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year. To learn more about markets in Southern Africa, please consult the FEWS NET Regional Maize Market Fundamentals Summary Report.

01 Nov 2018 description

Below-average rainfall at usual start of season, though average season still forecast

31 Oct 2018 description

Rainfall expected to increase, signaling the full onset of the October to December seasonal rains

KEY MESSAGES

• The onset of the October to December seasonal rains during the first three weeks of October was generally erratic in terms of intensity and spatial and temporal distribution across East Africa.
The start of the Deyr was delayed one to three weeks in Somalia and parts of Ethiopia, most notably in the agropastoral livelihood zones of southern Somalia.

08 Oct 2018 description

Northern seasonal rains forecast to typically subside and likely timely onset for October rains

KEY MESSAGES

  • The June to September seasonal rains gradually subsided in late September, marking the cessation of persistent well aboveaverage rainfall amounts across most of the northern sector, which led to widespread flooding in Sudan. However, some areas of the region experienced significant cumulative seasonal deficits, including some central areas of Ethiopia, eastern and central South Sudan, and northern and eastern Uganda.

02 Oct 2018 description

Agricultural season A begins in the midst of renewed hostilities in the Central-East

Key Messages

  • The harvests of the last two agricultural seasons in the northeast and central-east of the country have been below normal following the abandonment of crops due to the insecurity created by the resurgence of armed groups in the provinces of Maniema, Ituri and South Kivu, with nearly 122,000 newly displaced persons and climatic hazards. This situation has led to an early lean season and low supplies in local markets.