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09 Dec 2017 description

Despite recent rainfall, dryness remains in parts of South Africa and Madagascar

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Seasonal rainfall during early November has helped alleviate early season moisture deficits across Somalia and eastern Kenya. However, deficits in southern Somalia and eastern Kenya remain.
    The forecast below-average rain next week is likely strengthen moisture deficits.

07 Dec 2017 description

This brief summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries. The projected size of each country’s acutely food insecure population (IPC Phase 3 and higher) is compared to last year and the recent five-year average and categorized as Higher ( p), Similar ( u), or Lower ( ). Countries where external emergency food assistance needs are anticipated are identified. Projected lean season months highlighted in red indicate either an early start or an extension to the typical lean season.

01 Dec 2017 description

Highlights

  • Onset of seasonal rains is delayed in parts of South Africa and Lesotho
  • Rainfall season has started on time in northern parts of the region, and most other areas are expected to experience onset of rains in November
  • Integrated pest management strategies have been recommended for countering fall armyworm outbreaks

Regional Summary

01 Dec 2017 description

Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5) outcomes likely exist despite ongoing harvest

Key Messages

29 Nov 2017 description

Following unprecedented food assistance needs in 2017, little improvement is anticipated during the coming year.

11 Nov 2017 description

Deyr rains performed poorly in October in southern Somalia, with increases in early November

KEY MESSAGES

  • The onset of the Deyr (October to December) season was significantly delayed over parts of southern and central Somalia by 20-30 days. Rainfall totals in October were less than 50 percent of average, following by increases in rainfall during the first 10 days of November. Seasonal performance has been better in neighboring areas Ethiopia, where rainfall has been average to above average.

01 Nov 2017 description

Ongoing harvests and anticipated crop production likely to maintain Minimal outcomes

KEY MESSAGES

01 Nov 2017 description

Les conflits continuent à perturber les moyens d’existence des ménages dans les zones affectées

MESSAGES CLÉS

21 Oct 2017 description

Deyr rains perform poorly in early October in southern and central Somalia

KEY MESSAGES

  • The Deyr (October to December) season is delayed over southern and central Somalia, with rainfall totals less than 80 percent of average across many areas. In southeastern Ethiopia, rainfall has been average to slightly above average, but concentrated within 1-2 days of rainfall.

19 Oct 2017 description

Food insecurity outcomes to worsen for households in cereal deficit parts of the region in the coming months

Key Messages

18 Oct 2017 description

Summary Points

  • Maize grain as usual was the most traded commodity in the region followed by dry beans, rice and then sorghum. See Figure 1.

  • Staple commodity prices especially for maize are expected to remain above last year and five year average prices despite near average harvest in the region with spatial pockets of deficit within and between countries because carryover stocks are low, tightening supplies available for trade.

11 Oct 2017 description

This brief summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries. The projected size of each country’s acutely food insecure population (IPC Phase 3 and higher) is compared to last year and the recent five-year average and categorized as Higher (p), Similar (u), or Lower (q). Countries where external emergency food assistance needs are anticipated are identified. Projected lean season months highlighted in red indicate either an early start or an extension to the typical lean season.

01 Oct 2017 description

Key Messages

The Kasai and Tanganyika Regions are currently experiencing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) due to recurrent inter-community conflicts. The area between these two zones is experiencing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) conditions. The lean season started earlier than usual and areas in IPC Phase 3 will need humanitarian assistance to preserve the livelihoods of the most vulnerable.

29 Sep 2017 description

Les conflits continuent à limiter l’accès aux moyens d’existence des ménages des zones affectées

Court Terme : juin – septembre 2017 Moyen Terme: octobre 2017 - janvier 2018

Messages clés

28 Sep 2017 description

Key Messages
- Rainfall was above average during September over much of Sudan, northeastern South Sudan, and the western and central highlands of Ethiopia, which has generally been the case since the start of the season in June. In Sudan, localized areas are expected to face below average production due to mid-season dryness and severe flooding, while Fall Armyworm remains a concern in some areas of Ethiopia.

22 Sep 2017 description

Stable acute food insecurity outcomes continue in most parts of the region

Key Messages

13 Sep 2017 description

This brief summarizes FEWS NET’s most forward-looking analysis of projected emergency food assistance needs in FEWS NET coverage countries. The projected size of each country’s acutely food insecure population (IPC Phase 3 and higher) is compared to last year and the recent five-year average and categorized as Higher (p), Similar (u), or Lower (q). Countries where external emergency food assistance needs are anticipated are identified. Projected lean season months highlighted in red indicate either an early start or an extension to the typical lean season.