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The 2001 hurricane season was above average.
In December 2000 Professor William M Gray et al, forecasted that the 2001 hurricane season would be a below average hurricane season. However, at the beginning of the 2001 hurricane season, this team updated their forecast on June 07, 2001 to indicate that the season would be above average consisting of 12 named storms, 7 hurricanes and 3 intense hurricanes. The long-term averages are: Tropical Storms-10, Hurricanes-6 and Major Hurricanes-2. (NOAA, 2001).
Tropical Storm Jerry threatened the islands of the Eastern Caribbean namely Barbados, Grenada, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, and Tobago during the period October 6th to 8th, 2001. The system with maximum wind strength of 50mph did not adversely affect any of CDERA Participating States.
Ref: OCHA/GVA - 2001/0201
OCHA Situation Report No. 1
Tropical Storm Jerry - The Caribbean
DREF Allocated: None
At 11:OOam Eastern Caribbean Time, the center of newly formed Tropical Depression 12 formed near 11.2N 51.1W or approximately 740m1s East of the Windward Islands. The Depression is moving towards the WNW near 14mph with sustained winds of 30mph.
Reports from an Air Force hurricane hunter plane indicate that Chantal no longer has a center of circulation, and the system has become a strong tropical wave. As of 8 p.m. EDT Thursday, the dissipating center of Tropical Storm Chantal was estimated in the vicinity of latitude 13.0 north, longitude 61.0 west or near St. Vincent in the Windward Islands. The wave is moving westward near 29 mph, and a rapid westward motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, according to NOAA's National Hurricane Center.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph in a few squalls.
Tropical Storm Chantal was downgraded to a tropical wave on Thursday night (Aug. 16). The National Weather Service discontinued all storm watches and warnings for the islands of the Lesser Antilles, where Chantal was expected to strike.
Extracted from FEMA National Situation Update
WTNT34 KNHC 161446
TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
Tropical Storm Chantal
OCHA Situation Report No.1
16 August 2001
This message is not an official hurricane warning or alert for any country.
1. The National Weather Center in Miami reports that at 1200 GMT, 16 August 2001, the center of tropical storm Chantal was located near latitude 12.9 north and longitude 54.0 west, or about 370 miles or 595 km east of Barbados in the Windward Islands. Maximum sustained winds have increased to 40 mph (65 km/hr) with higher gusts.
At 11 a.m. EDT, the center of tropical storm Chantal was located near latitude 13.1 north, longitude 55.3 west or about 280 miles east of Barbados. Chantal is moving toward the west near 26 mph, and this motion is expected to continue during the next 24 hours. On this track Chantal should be moving through the Windward Islands Thursday night, according to NOAA's National Hurricane Center.