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21 Nov 2018 description

Delayed planting season in the Ruzizi Plain due to the late arrival of rain

21 Nov 2018 description

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The Climate Prediction Centre is predicting El Niño climatic conditions during the main 2018-19 growing season with 70-75% probability while IRI has increased the probability to more than 85%. Furthermore, the forecasts suggest a likelihood of a weak to moderate El Niño event. Historically El Niño climatic conditions have resulted in reduced rainfall across the southern part of Southern Africa.

21 Nov 2018 description

Messages clés

  • Le retour tardif des pluies tel que prévu par la NOAA/CPC, de 2-3 décades, dans la partie Centre-est du pays se sont bien manifestées notamment sur la plaine de la Ruzizi où les ménages agricoles viennent de terminer le semis des principaux vivriers en ce début du mois de novembre. Cependant, ceux de la partie Nord-est qui ont semé plus tôt, s’activent aux travaux d’entretien des champs. On pourrait s’attendre à des récoltes échelonnées dans le temps, lesquelles pourraient intervenir à partir de mi-décembre 2018.

17 Nov 2018 description

Highlights

  • Most parts of the region are experiencing a slow start to the rainfall season, with below average early rainfall received early in the season

  • Short term forecasts suggest that the slow onset of rains will continue until at least late November, potentially delaying planting of summer season crops in several areas

  • Seasonal forecasts suggest high chances for normal to below normal rains in many areas this year, with implications for crop production potential

Regional Summary

03 Nov 2018 description

Les conflits continuent à perturber les moyens d’existence des ménages dans les zones affectées

Messages clés

29 Aug 2018 description

Key messages

• The 2017-18 rainfall season was characterized by a late start, an extended mid-season dry spell (December-January) and heavy rains from February into April. The dry spell caused moisture stress and wilting of the early planted crops in many areas in Botswana, south-western Madagascar, southern Malawi, southern and some central parts of Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe.

31 May 2018 description

Tropical Cyclone Mekunu hits Yemen and Oman, while West Africa records mixed rainfall

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Insufficient rain since January has resulted in large moisture deficits and below-average vegetation conditions over portions of northwestern Angola.

  2. Poorly-distributed rain since late February has resulted in abnormal dryness across central and northeastern Ethiopia.

25 May 2018 description

Tropical Cyclone Mekunu is expected to hit Yemen and Oman next week

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Insufficient rain since January has resulted in large moisture deficits and below-average vegetation conditions over portions of northwestern Angola.

  2. Poorly-distributed rain since late February has resulted in abnormal dryness across central and northeastern Ethiopia.

  3. A slow onset to seasonal rainfall across the southern Gulf of Guinea countries has led to strengthening moisture deficits throughout the region.

17 May 2018 description

Despite a decrease in rainfall, flooding continues in East Africa.

  1. Due to poor rainfall since November western Namibia is in a severe drought. Conditions may worsen as limited rain is forecast next week.

  2. In southwestern Madagascar, an uneven and inadequate rainfall distribution since the start of the rainfall season has resulted in severe drought. Drought conditions are likely to persist.

11 May 2018 description

Flooding continues in Somalia and Kenya

  1. Due to poor rainfall since November western Namibia is in a severe drought. Conditions may worsen as limited rain is forecast next week.

  2. In southwestern Madagascar, an uneven and inadequate rainfall distribution since the start of the rainfall season has resulted in severe drought. Drought conditions are likely to persist.

  3. Insufficient rain since January has resulted in large moisture deficits and below-average vegetation conditions over portions of northwestern Angola.

07 May 2018 description

Key Messages

  • Cereal production during the upcoming harvest season in Southern Africa is expected to be below average, despite the heavy late rains, which benefitted the late planted crops. This is due to a late start of the rainy season, minimal to no rains during the critical planting season (December -January), high temperatures and the prevalence of Fall Armyworm (FAW).

03 May 2018 description

Moisture deficits increase in West Africa, while flooding rains continue in Kenya and Tanzania

  1. Due to poor rainfall since November western Namibia is in a severe drought. Conditions may worsen as limited rain is forecast next week.

  2. In southwestern Madagascar, an uneven and inadequate rainfall distribution since the start of the rainfall season has resulted in severe drought. Drought conditions are likely to persist.

26 Apr 2018 description

*Flooding spreads in East Africa as heavy rainfall continues *

  1. Due to poor rainfall since November western Namibia is in a severe drought. Conditions may worsen as limited rain is forecast next week.

  2. In southwestern Madagascar, an uneven and inadequate rainfall distribution since the start of the rainfall season has resulted in severe drought. Drought conditions are likely to persist.

  3. Insufficient rain since January has resulted in large moisture deficits and below-average vegetation conditions over portions of northwestern Angola.

24 Apr 2018 description

Heavy rainfall and flooding continues in Kenya, Somalia, and costal Tanzania

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Due to poor rainfall since November western Namibia is in a severe drought. Conditions may worsen as limited rain is forecast next week.

  2. In southwestern Madagascar, an uneven and inadequate rainfall distribution since the start of the rainfall season has resulted in severe drought. Drought conditions are likely to persist.

13 Apr 2018 description

Rainfall brings some relief to Ethiopia, but causes flooding and fatalities in Kenya

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Due to poor rainfall since November western Namibia is in a severe drought. Conditions may worsen as limited rain is forecast next week.

  2. In southwestern Madagascar, an uneven and inadequate rainfall distribution since the start of the rainfall season has resulted in severe drought. Drought conditions are likely to persist.

08 Apr 2018 description

Despite recent rainfall, western Ethiopia remains dry

  1. Due to poor rainfall since November western Namibia is in a severe drought. Conditions may worsen as limited rain is forecast next week.

  2. In southwestern Madagascar, an uneven and inadequate rainfall distribution since the start of the rainfall season has resulted in severe drought. Drought conditions are likely to persist.

30 Mar 2018 description

Abnormal dryness emerges across Ethiopia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Due to poor rainfall since November western Namibia is in a severe drought. Condi ons may worsen as limited rain is forecast next week.

23 Mar 2018 description

Flooding risks remain in southern Kenya, while severe drought continues in southern Africa

  1. Due to poor rainfall since November western Namibia is in a severe drought. Conditions may worsen as limited rain is forecast next week.

  2. In southwestern Madagascar, an uneven and inadequate rainfall distribution since the start of the rainfall season has resulted in severe drought. Drought conditions are likely to persist.

22 Mar 2018 description
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Mensajes claves

Mensajes claves

Estimaciones globales sobre la inseguridad alimentaria aguda en 2017

• Alrededor de 124 millones de personas en 51 países se enfrentan a una situación de Crisis de inseguridad alimentaria o peor (equivalente o superior a la fase 3 del IPC/CH) y requieren una acción humanitaria urgente para salvar vidas, proteger los medios de vida y reducir los niveles de hambre y desnutrición aguda.