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11 Jan 2019 description

Rainfall brings relief to dry conditions across South Africa, Botswana, Zimbabwe and Angola

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. An erratic rainfall distribution since the Short-Rains season has caused large seasonal dryness in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Continued below average rainfall since October has resulted in significant moisture deficits throughout southern Africa.

  3. Several consecutive weeks of poor rainfall has led to anomalous dryness across Madagascar.

04 Jan 2019 description

Drought develops in eastern Africa as dryness strengthens across southern Africa

  1. A poor start to the Short-Rains season has resulted in large seasonal dryness in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Insufficient rainfall since October has led to large moisture deficits in South Africa, Lesotho, and Botswana.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall has caused dryness across Madagascar.

  4. Many weeks of below-average rainfall has strengthened dryness in Angola, Namibia, Zambia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, and South Africa.

03 Jan 2019 description

Drought continues to develop across Kenya, Somalia, and southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poor rainfall distribution since the beginning of the Short-Rains season has caused large moisture deficits in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Insufficient rainfall since October has resulted in early-season drought across South Africa, Lesotho, and Botswana.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall have caused dryness in central and western Madagascar.

28 Dec 2018 description
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Worldwide modification 3

THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION,

Having regard to the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union,

Having regard to Council Regulation (EC) No 1257/96 of 20 June 1996 concerning humanitarian aid1 , and in particular Article 2, Article 4 and Article 15(2) and (3) thereof,

Having regard to Council Decision 2013/755/EU of 25 November 2013 on the association of the overseas countries and territories with the European Union ('Overseas Association Decision')2 , and in particular Article 79 thereof,

22 Dec 2018 description

L’insécurité alimentaire toujours préoccupante dans les zones affectées par les conflits en RDC

MESSAGES CLÉS :

22 Dec 2018 description

Highlights

  • Well-below average rainfall has been received in most parts of the region since October, although recent improvements were experienced in some eastern areas

  • The low rains have been associated with a delayed season onset in western, central and southern parts of the region. Some areas experienced delays in season onset of 30 to 40 days

  • Pasture and livestock conditions deteriorated, and drought-related livestock deaths were reported

19 Dec 2018 description

Key Messages

The depletion of household food stocks, below-average incomes, and increase in market prices will likely lead to an increase in the number of households experiencing Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes in areas of Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique and Zimbabwe through at least early 2019. Areas affected by conflict in DRC are also anticipated to be in Crisis (IPC Phase 3). The rest of the region will likely continue experiencing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Minimal (IPC Phase 1) outcomes.

06 Dec 2018 description

Abnormal dryness develops in Angola, Zambia, and Zimbabwe

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Delayed seasonal rainfall and erratic precipitation in the last two months has caused dryness across Ethiopia, southern Somalia, and Kenya.

  2. Poorly distributed precipitation since September and high daytime temperatures have caused early season drought in South Africa and Lesotho.

  3. Consecutive weeks of poor rainfall has caused dryness across central and western Madagascar.

29 Nov 2018 description

Dry conditions persist in the Horn and southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Delayed seasonal rainfall and increased precipitation last month led to dryness in Ethiopia, southern Somalia and Kenya. Dryness is expected to strengthen into midNovember.

  2. Poorly distributed precipitation in the last two months and high daytime temperatures caused early season dryness in southern Botswana, South Africa, parts of Swaziland and Lesotho.

22 Nov 2018 description

The Greater Horn of Africa and Angola remain dry

  1. Moisture deficits develop across Ethiopia, the Jubba and Shabelle River basins of Somalia, and Kenya. Next week, below-average rainfall is expected to strengthen dryness.

  2. Poorly distributed precipitation in September and October, paired with high daytime temperatures caused abnormal early season dryness across Botswana, South Africa, Swaziland and Lesotho.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall caused irregular dryness across Madagascar.

21 Nov 2018 description

Delayed planting season in the Ruzizi Plain due to the late arrival of rain

21 Nov 2018 description

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The Climate Prediction Centre is predicting El Niño climatic conditions during the main 2018-19 growing season with 70-75% probability while IRI has increased the probability to more than 85%. Furthermore, the forecasts suggest a likelihood of a weak to moderate El Niño event. Historically El Niño climatic conditions have resulted in reduced rainfall across the southern part of Southern Africa.

21 Nov 2018 description

Messages clés

  • Le retour tardif des pluies tel que prévu par la NOAA/CPC, de 2-3 décades, dans la partie Centre-est du pays se sont bien manifestées notamment sur la plaine de la Ruzizi où les ménages agricoles viennent de terminer le semis des principaux vivriers en ce début du mois de novembre. Cependant, ceux de la partie Nord-est qui ont semé plus tôt, s’activent aux travaux d’entretien des champs. On pourrait s’attendre à des récoltes échelonnées dans le temps, lesquelles pourraient intervenir à partir de mi-décembre 2018.

20 Nov 2018 description

Continued dryness in southern Africa, while drought develops in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya

  1. Poor rainfall during the Short-Rains season has caused moisture deficits in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Poorly-distributed rainfall and high daytime temperatures have resulted in early-season drought across southern South Africa and Lesotho.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall has caused dryness in central and western Madagascar.

17 Nov 2018 description

Highlights

  • Most parts of the region are experiencing a slow start to the rainfall season, with below average early rainfall received early in the season

  • Short term forecasts suggest that the slow onset of rains will continue until at least late November, potentially delaying planting of summer season crops in several areas

  • Seasonal forecasts suggest high chances for normal to below normal rains in many areas this year, with implications for crop production potential

Regional Summary

15 Nov 2018 description

Dryness remains in the Greater Horn of Africa, and early season dryness is observed in southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Delayed seasonal rainfall followed by modest precipitation has increased dryness in Ethiopia, the Jubba and Shabelle River basins of Somalia, and Kenya.

  2. Poorly distributed precipitation in the last two months coupled with high daytime temperatures has resulted in abnormal early season dryness across southern Botswana, South Africa, Swaziland and Lesotho.

13 Nov 2018 description

Abnormal dryness expands in Angola, Zambia, and Zimbabwe

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Delayed seasonal rainfall and erratic precipitation in the past two months have caused dryness across Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya.

  2. Poorly-distributed rainfall since September and high daytime temperatures have resulted in early-season drought across South Africa and Lesotho.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall has caused dryness in Madagascar.

08 Nov 2018 description

Dryness strengthens in the Greater Horn of Africa, and early season dryness develops in South Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Heavy rainfall triggered floods across southeastern Kenya. Additional rainfall predicted next week may stress already wet ground conditions in the region.

03 Nov 2018 description

Les conflits continuent à perturber les moyens d’existence des ménages dans les zones affectées

Messages clés