- Southern Africa: Drought - Nov 2018
- Southern Africa: Armyworm Infestation - Jan 2017
- Southern Africa: Floods - Jan 2017
- Angola/DR Congo: Yellow Fever Outbreak - Jan 2016
- Southern Africa: Food Insecurity - 2015-2017
- Angola: Drought - 2012-2014
- Angola: Cholera Outbreak - Dec 2011
- Angola: Floods - Dec 2011
- Southern Africa: Floods - Jan 2011
- Angola: Floods - Oct 2010
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Overview of the SARCOF Forecast
The Nineteenth Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF-19) was convened from 26 to 28 August 2015 in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo, by the SADC Climate Services Centre (CSC) to formulate consensus guidance for the 2015/2016 rainfall season over the SADC region. A series of rainfall outlooks covering the period October 2015 to March 2016 was prepared by climate scientists from the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services of the SADC region and the SADC CSC.
Main Outcomes and Findings of the VACs
The number of food insecure people in the countries providing data increased by 13% (13.4 million this year compared to 10.3 million for last year) which was an above average year.
The exceptions were Mozambique and Swaziland where numbers continued to decrease.
In comparison to last year major increases in food insecure population are noted in Malawi, Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe
The SADC says the 2014/15 rainfall season was generally poor in most parts of the region, with prolonged dry spells in some parts and both floods and prolonged dry spells in other parts resulting in an unsatisfactory overall food security situation for the 2015/16 marketing year.
Director for Food, Agriculture and Natural Resources (FANR) at the SADC Secretariat, Mrs. Margaret Nyirenda, said this during a media briefing held on 14th August 2015 at the Gaborone International Conference Centre (GICC) ahead of the 35th Ordinary Summit for Heads of States in Botswana.
The SADC summary of the 2015/16 regional food security and vulnerability situation based on the results of the 2015 NVACs vulnerability assessments.
Given the hazards faced, the number of food insecure people in the countries providing data increased by 13% (13.4 million this year compared to 10.3 million for last year) which was an above average year. The exceptions were Mozambique and Swaziland where numbers continued to decrease. In comparison to last year major increases in food insecure population are noted in Malawi, Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
A. REGIONAL UPDATE
JANUARY 2015– MARCH 2015 RAINFALL HIGHLIGHTS
The southern African summer monsoon continued to be very active in the northern part of DRC, Island States and on the vicinity of eastern parts of SADC region.
The region received mostly normal to below normal rain-fall conditions;
Normal to above normal rain-fall conditions were observed over DRC, Tanzania, northern Mozambique, Madagascar, Mauritius and Seychelles;
During March 2015, a favor-able distribution in rainfall was observed across western sub-region.
Dry, hot conditions intensify in February in southern half of the region, negatively affecting crops in several areas including South Africa, Lesotho and Zimbabwe
Heavy February rainfall received in parts of Madagascar, Malawi and Mozambique
Dry conditions in early March potentially compromise production prospects in late-planted areas in north-eastern parts of the region
DECEMBER 2014– FEBRUARY 2015 RAINFALL HIGHLIGHTS
•The austral summer monsoon continues to be very active over Indian Ocean and in the vicinity of eastern parts of continental SADC.
•The region received: normal rainfall conditions over the easternmost parts of contiguous SADC mostly covered by Botswana, Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe.
•Significant drier-than-normal conditions continued to occur over the western and southern parts of conterminous SADC.
NOVEMBER 2014– JANUARY 2015 RAINFALL
The Southern African summer monsoon was very active over the eastern parts of SADC region with heavy rain mostly concentrated over Island States, southern Malawi, northern Mozambique,
Zambia and Zimbabwe during December 2014 and early January 2015.
Despite those wet spells which brought flooding in some countries, overall normal rainfall conditions were mostly observed in the region;