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17 Feb 2019 description

THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION,

Having regard to the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union,

Having regard to Regulation (EU, Euratom) 2018/1046 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 18 July 2018 on the financial rules applicable to the general budget of the Union, amending Regulations (EU) No 1296/2013, (EU) No 1301/2013, (EU) No 1303/2013, (EU)
No 1304/2013, (EU) No 1309/2013, (EU) No 1316/2013, (EU) No 223/2014, (EU) No 283/2014, and Decision No 541/2014/EU and repealing Regulation (EU, Euratom) No 966/20121 , and in particular Article 110 thereof,

14 Feb 2019 description

Heavy rainfall continues in southeast Africa while drought strengthens in parts of Angola and Namibia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Significantly below average rainfall since October has resulted in extended dry spells in southern Africa. Improved seasonal rainfall in February has brought relief to many areas in South Africa.

  2. Heavy rainfall is forecast over Madagascar next week with the potential for flooding.

14 Feb 2019 description

Heavy January rainfall decreased moisture deficits, though cropping conditions unlikely to recover

Key Messages

08 Feb 2019 description

Malawi, Mozambique, and Madagascar receive heavy rainfall as dryness strengthens in Angola and Namibia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Significantly below average and infrequent rainfall since October has caused widespread dryness in southern Africa. Improved seasonal rainfall since December has brought relief to many affected areas.

  2. Heavy rainfall is forecast over Malawi, Mozambique, and Madagascar with the potential for flooding.

07 Feb 2019 description

Cyclical drought, food insecurity, cyclones, floods, disease outbreaks, and complex emergencies present significant challenges to vulnerable populations throughout the Southern Africa region. Between FY 2009 and FY 2018, USAID’s Office of U.S. Foreign Disaster Assistance (USAID/OFDA) and USAID’s Office of Food for Peace (USAID/FFP) provided humanitarian assistance in response to a range of natural andman-made disasters.

02 Feb 2019 description

Delayed start of season and significant rainfall deficits negatively impacting cropping conditions

31 Jan 2019 description

Heavy rainfall continues over Mozambique and Madagascar, while dryness strengthens in Angola and Namibia

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Significantly below average and infrequent rainfall since October has caused widespread dryness in southern Africa. Improved seasonal rainfall since December has brought relief to many affected areas.

  2. Heavy rainfall is forecast for Mozambique and Madagascar with potential for continued flooding.

29 Jan 2019 description

Situation Overview

  • The southern African continent is highly vulnerable to extreme climatological events, due to the combination of insufficient coping capacity, widespread poverty and strong seasonal rainfall patterns. The region is experiencing a meteorological drought.

  • This region has a strong precipitation seasonality, with most of the annual rainfall falling between November and March. The meteorological drought experienced in the region could impact the next lean season.

27 Jan 2019 description

Delayed and erratic rainfall marked the first half of the season

Key Messages

25 Jan 2019 description

Highlights

Well-below average rainfall has been received in most parts of the region for the October through early January period

  • Rainfall improved in parts of December through early and mid-January in some central areas, while erratic rains continued in the south

  • Extreme high temperatures affected many parts of the region in December

  • Seasonal forecasts for reduced rainfall continue to raise concerns of potentially negative impacts on crop harvests

Regional Summary

25 Jan 2019 description

Heavy rainfall received across Mozambique and Madagascar

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Significantly below average and infrequent rainfall since October has caused widespread dryness in southern Africa. Improved seasonal rainfall since December has brought relief to many affected areas.

  2. Heavy rainfall was received across Mozambique and Madagascar with potential for continued flooding and above-averaga rainfall amounts next week.

18 Jan 2019 description

Increased seasonal rainfall is forecast to relieve dryness throughout southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. An erratic rainfall distribution since the Short-Rains season has caused dryness in Somalia,
    Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Continued below average rainfall since October has resulted in widespread dryness throughout southern Africa.

  3. Poor rainfall has led to anomalous dryness across Madagascar. Heavy rainfall forecast later this month is expected to provide relief.

11 Jan 2019 description

Rainfall brings relief to dry conditions across South Africa, Botswana, Zimbabwe and Angola

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. An erratic rainfall distribution since the Short-Rains season has caused large seasonal dryness in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Continued below average rainfall since October has resulted in significant moisture deficits throughout southern Africa.

  3. Several consecutive weeks of poor rainfall has led to anomalous dryness across Madagascar.

04 Jan 2019 description

Drought develops in eastern Africa as dryness strengthens across southern Africa

  1. A poor start to the Short-Rains season has resulted in large seasonal dryness in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Insufficient rainfall since October has led to large moisture deficits in South Africa, Lesotho, and Botswana.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall has caused dryness across Madagascar.

  4. Many weeks of below-average rainfall has strengthened dryness in Angola, Namibia, Zambia, Botswana, Zimbabwe, and South Africa.

03 Jan 2019 description

Drought continues to develop across Kenya, Somalia, and southern Africa

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Poor rainfall distribution since the beginning of the Short-Rains season has caused large moisture deficits in Somalia, Ethiopia, and Kenya.

  2. Insufficient rainfall since October has resulted in early-season drought across South Africa, Lesotho, and Botswana.

  3. Several weeks of poor rainfall have caused dryness in central and western Madagascar.

28 Dec 2018 description
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Worldwide modification 3

THE EUROPEAN COMMISSION,

Having regard to the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union,

Having regard to Council Regulation (EC) No 1257/96 of 20 June 1996 concerning humanitarian aid1 , and in particular Article 2, Article 4 and Article 15(2) and (3) thereof,

Having regard to Council Decision 2013/755/EU of 25 November 2013 on the association of the overseas countries and territories with the European Union ('Overseas Association Decision')2 , and in particular Article 79 thereof,

22 Dec 2018 description

Highlights

  • Well-below average rainfall has been received in most parts of the region since October, although recent improvements were experienced in some eastern areas

  • The low rains have been associated with a delayed season onset in western, central and southern parts of the region. Some areas experienced delays in season onset of 30 to 40 days

  • Pasture and livestock conditions deteriorated, and drought-related livestock deaths were reported

21 Dec 2018 description

Will an El Nino take place?

Current forecasts of Eastern Pacific sea surface temperatures (SST) and expert judgement point to a significant likelihood of an El Nino materializing: currently this stands at over 90% chance of it happening by early 2019.

How long is it likely to last and how intense is it likely to get?