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12 Nov 2007 description

Executive Summary

The role and effects of private security companies (PSCs) have been discussed from various angles in the past. While much attention was paid to the legal status of PSCs or their potential impacts on the role of the state, little consideration was directed towards the influence of PSC activities on local populations. Only little information is available on how local populations perceive PSCs and what the impact of their activities may be on peoples' every day lives.

25 Jul 2007 description

Political

As expected, the Council of Ministers on 30 May approved a 90-day extension of the voter registration period until 15 September, endorsing the recommendation of the National Electoral Commission (CNE). The prolongation was welcomed by civil society and the main churches, with little contestation by opposition parties. However, concerns of a possible election delay persist, in face of the 3-month challenge to register an estimated three million voters from mainly remote rural areas.

10 May 2007 description

Outlook:

Political tensions are likely to increase during the last phase of the voter registration in Angola. A prolongation of the registration period beyond 15 June may be seen as necessary to cope with a series of setbacks due to the rainy season. However, despite concerns of MPLA foot-dragging, voices in defense of a definitive election schedule have recently been raised also from within the MPLA. Though, mainly the ruling party may be tempted to step up pre-electoral surveys in order to assess their chances to win absolute majority.

14 Mar 2007 description

On January 15 voter registration started again with a series of recommendations from the National Electoral Commission (CNE). Opposition parties should be allowed to participate with 1018 monitors each and, in order to enhance their mobility, have their credentials assigned to municipalities instead of specific teams of registration officials. The CNE further urged for a quick delivery of registration mappings and assured that all citizens who complete majority until December 2007 could register.

31 Dec 2006 description

Country Stability and Conflictive Events

- The most important domestic developments included the start of the voter registration process, while elections were further shifted to 2008, and the peace process in the enclave of Cabinda, which was undermined by ongoing low-intensity armed conflict and significant tension at the political level.

30 Jun 2005 description

Risk Assessment:

The Country Stability index continued to fluctuate slightly at the same level as during the previous monitoring period, while the Conflictive Actions curve is marked by a sharp peak in December, followed by smaller peaks in March and May.

Country Stability was not affected by the worst outbreak of a Marburg epidemic worldwide, which according to the World Health Organization has claimed 356 deaths out of 422 reported cases. Apart from a few cases, since, the epidemic remained largely contained in the northern border province of Uige.

07 Jan 2005 description


Risk Assessment:

Since July, the Country Stability curve appears to re-approach the high level constantly featured throughout 2003, following slight fluctuations since February. Relative Government Direct Actions remain on a low level, mirroring Country Stability fluctuations.