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22 Dec 2018 description

Highlights

  • Well-below average rainfall has been received in most parts of the region since October, although recent improvements were experienced in some eastern areas

  • The low rains have been associated with a delayed season onset in western, central and southern parts of the region. Some areas experienced delays in season onset of 30 to 40 days

  • Pasture and livestock conditions deteriorated, and drought-related livestock deaths were reported

17 Nov 2018 description

Highlights

  • Most parts of the region are experiencing a slow start to the rainfall season, with below average early rainfall received early in the season

  • Short term forecasts suggest that the slow onset of rains will continue until at least late November, potentially delaying planting of summer season crops in several areas

  • Seasonal forecasts suggest high chances for normal to below normal rains in many areas this year, with implications for crop production potential

Regional Summary

08 Oct 2018 description

HIGHLIGHTS

More than 400,000 people across the region have been affected by floods and cyclones in 2018.

There is a 65-70 per cent probability of an El Niño event between December and February, as compared with a 90 per cent probability ahead of the same period in 2015 - 2016.

People in two districts in Madagascar and three in Zimbabwe are facing Emergency food insecurity.

KEY MESSAGES

31 Aug 2018 description

OVERVIEW

Malnutrition is the result of a complex set of interacting factors that are multi-sectoral, related to health, sanitation and care practices as well as consumption and access to food. Further influencing factors include education, gender, social equity, and the local social and environmental context. These causes of malnutrition are classified as immediate, underlying, and basic, whereby factors at one level influence other levels.

27 Feb 2018 description

Key Figures
- 75% shortfall in rain in large parts of the region during January
- 14,732 cholera cases and 218 deaths reported since 2017
- 234,200 people affected by floods and cyclones in 2018

Overview

01 Feb 2018 description

HIGHLIGHTS

• Overall humanitarian needs decrease as Southern Africa recovers from 2015/2016 El Niño-related drought conditions

• Tropical Cyclone Ava results in more than 50 deaths in Madagascar

• Recent analyses project mixed food security outcomes across Southern Africa through mid-2018

KEY DEVELOPMENTS

24 Jan 2018 description

Highlights

  • Dry conditions intensified in the southern half of the region, threatening production prospects in several areas. Abnormally high temperatures accompanied these dry conditions. Short term rainfall forecasts suggest little respite in the near-term.

  • Good rains were received in the northern half of the region, promoting good crop conditions.

  • A cyclone made landfall in Madagascar, causing fatalities, displacement of populations, damage to infrastructure and flooding of thousands of hectares planted to rice.

20 Feb 2017 description

Highlights

NOVEMBER 2016 – JANUARY 2017 RAINFALL

  • The southern half of conti-nental SADC region has re-ceived normal to above-normal rainfall in the current rainfall season.

  • The northern and eastern parts of contiguous SADC are still under normal to below-normal rainfall conditions.

  • Above-normal rainfall was experienced over Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia, south Zambia, Zimbabwe, northern South Africa, central and southern Mozambique and Swaziland.

11 Jan 2017 description

HIGHLIGHTS

OCTOBER – DECEMBER 2016 RAINFALL HIGHLIGHTS

  • Since late November, the southern African summer monsoon has continued to be dominated by a dipole pattern: with suppressed rainfall in the northeastern parts of the region and Island of Madagascar, and enhanced rainfall in the southern parts of contiguous SADC.

  • Some significant above-normal rainfalls conditions were observed last past 30 days, across portions of northwestern DRC, west and south of Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe and south Mozambique.

30 Nov 2016 description

HIGHLIGHTS

SEPTEMBER– NOVEMBER 2016 RAINFALL HIGHLIGHTS

  • The season started slowly in some areas.

  • During September to November, wetter than normal areas spread over the central and western Angola, eastern Botswana, north-eastern South Africa, northern Namibia, Lesotho and Swaziland.

  • Seasonally average conditions occurred across north -western DRC, north and west of Tanzania, Madagascar and south Mozambique.

DJF2016/17 RAINFALL UPDATE OUTLOOK SUMMARY

22 Jul 2016 description

(Antananarivo, 22 July 2016) Winding up a nine-day visit to the UK, Malawi and Madagascar, United Nations Assistant Secretary-General and Deputy Emergency Relief Coordinator Kyung-wha Kang called for urgent action by governments and donors to assist millions of people affected by severe drought in the southern Africa region.

24 Jun 2015 description

Overview

Over the past 10 years the SADC region has experienced 545 disaster events which affected approximately 39 million people and resulted in 5,300 deaths (EMDAT). The highest number of disaster events occurred in 2006/2007 and 2011, with fewer disaster events during the last 3 years.
Droughts and floods affected the highest number of people. The largest number of people were affected in Malawi, Zimbabwe and Tanzania respectively, with the most people affected during 2005 and 2007.

24 Jun 2015 description

Situation Overview

The 2014/2015 Southern African rainfall season, which stretches from October to May , saw severe floods in the east of the region. The remainder of the region experienced poor rains that were late to arrive and irregular.

Malawi, Mozambique and Madagascar were hit by multiple floods between December 2014 and April 2015 (accounting for 97% of all flood affected people) . A total of 10 tropical storm systems were monitored during the season, with tropical storms Chedza and Fundi affecting Madagascar in early 2015.

04 Mar 2015 description
  • Consistent heavy rains caused fatalities, flooding, and landslides in Madagascar.

  • A slow start to the rainy season observed in southwestern Ethiopia.

25 Feb 2015 description

Above-average rains were observed across saturated areas in Madagascar and northern Mozambique.

Dryness deepens across Angola, Namibia, Botswana, South Africa and coastal Tanzania.

11 Feb 2015 description

Tropical Storm Fundi brought torrential rains to Madagascar.

Below-average rains deepen rainfall deficits in Angola and Namibia.

06 Feb 2015 description

Madagascar

A new low pressure system has formed in the Mozambique Channel. It is currently forecasted to strengthen to a moderate to strong tropical storm over the next two days as it moves in a southerly direction, coming within 150 km of the south-west coast of Madagascar. It is not expected to make landfall, but could bring heavy rains. A main concern is the Fiherenena dyke protecting Toliara City, which was not fully repaired after it was damaged by Tropical Cyclone Haruna in 2013 (which killed 26 people and displaced 20,000).