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08 Jan 2016 description

OVERVIEW

  • Many countries across the African continent face recurrent complex emergencies, frequent food insecurity, cyclical drought, and sudden-onset disasters such as earthquakes, floods, and storms. In FY 2015, as in previous years, USAID/OFDA not only responded to urgent needs resulting from disasters, but also supported DRR programs that built resilience and improved emergency preparedness, mitigation, and response capacity at the local, national, and regional levels.

24 Dec 2015 description
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Situation Overview

Abnormal rainfall patterns contributed to a spike in food insecurity in the region, which is currently affecting more than 28.5M people. This figure includes Angola (where the figures are yet to be confirmed), Madagascar (where 1,893,398 people are classified as food insecure, of which 459,319 people are severely so). These severe food insecurity conditions are likely to be exacerbated by the current El Niño which is predicted to continue and strengthen in 2015/2016.

22 Dec 2015 description

Delayed onset of seasonal rains in parts of Southern Africa raises serious concern for crop and livestock production in 2016

Highlights

  • El Niño-related dry conditions at the start of the 2015/16 cropping season adversely affect cropping activities and impede early crop development in Southern Africa

  • Climate forecasts point to a very likely continuation of drier-than-normal conditions in early 2016 increasing the likelihood of serious impacts on production across many areas of the subregion

18 Dec 2015 description

Heavy rainfall may lead to flooding in Kenya, Tanzania, and central Madagascar

  1. Due to a delayed start of season and erratic distribution of rainfall, drought conditions have affected many countries in southern Africa, including Angola, South Africa, Botswana, Zambia, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, Swaziland, and Mozambique. Exacerbated by a poor performance during the previous season, the deficient rain has already significantly reduced water availability, leading to livestock deaths and poor ground conditions over many areas.

11 Dec 2015 description

Highlights

  • Rains are still well below normal in the southern half of the region, with deficits strengthening in some areas in recent weeks.

  • Onset of rains is delayed by at least 30-40 days in parts of Angola and South Africa

  • Moderate relief is expected in some of these drought-affected areas, according to short term rainfall forecasts

  • Vegetation conditions in many areas are among the worst in 15 years. These conditions have some negative implications for pastures, livestock and hydrology

11 Dec 2015 description

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Abnormal dryness has expanded across many portions of southern Africa from southern Angola, northern Namibia, southern Zambia, eastern Zimbabwe, central Malawi, central Mozambique, southern Botswana, to South Africa due to a delayed onset and persistent below-average rain since the start of the season. The deficient rain has already severely reduced water availability, negatively impacting cropping and pastoral activities over many areas.

08 Dec 2015 description

HIGHLIGHTS

• The current growing season (October 2015 – April 2016) in Southern Africa will develop during the peak stage of one of the strongest El Nino events in the available record. Unlike previous events, the official onset of this El Nino in March 2015 was preceded by borderline conditions during the previous growing season.

26 Nov 2015 description

Flooding risks continue to be elevated in Somalia, Kenya, and Tanzania

Africa Weather Hazards

  1. Above-average seasonal rainfall has led to above-normal river levels along the Shabelle and Jubba River basins. Although a reduction of precipitation has been observed in mid-November, additional rains are expected to sustain the risk for flooding in the region.

20 Nov 2015 description

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Abnormal rainfall patterns during 2014/2015 have contributed to a spike in food insecurity, which is currently affecting at least 27.4 m people regionally (and this excludes Angola, which has yet to publish official figures; and Madagascar, which did not present to SADC, but where 1.9 m people are food insecure, of which 460,000 people are severely so). In Malawi and Zimbabwe, 2.8 m and 1.5 m people are food insecure respectively.

17 Nov 2015 description

Yemen: 14.4 million people are now food insecure: two million more than in June and four million more than before the escalation of conflict in March. 7.6 million people are severely food insecure. Heavy fighting continues, in particular in Al Dhalee and Taizz governorates. Peace talks between Houthi and government representatives, which were expected to begin mid-November, are yet to take place.

12 Nov 2015 description

Late or erratic start of the season and below average rainfall will affect agriculture labor opportunities

Key Messages

12 Nov 2015 description

Regional needs expected to increase with 2015/16 El Niño

20 Oct 2015 description
report UN News Service

19 octobre 2015 – Plus de 27 millions de personnes en Afrique australe risquent d'être confrontées à l'insécurité alimentaire au cours des six prochains mois, ont prévenu lundi l'Organisation des Nations Unies pour l'alimentation et l'agriculture (FAO) et le Programme alimentaire mondial (PAM) qui ont annoncé une extension de leurs opérations.

19 Oct 2015 description

JOHANNESBURG – The Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) and the United Nations World Food Programme (WFP) are expanding their operations in response to growing food insecurity as a result of poor harvests across much of southern Africa. There will be an estimated 27.4 million food-insecure people in the region during the next six months, according to the Southern African Development Community 2015 Vulnerability Assessments. *

06 Oct 2015 description

Overview of the SARCOF Forecast

The Nineteenth Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF-19) was convened from 26 to 28 August 2015 in Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo, by the SADC Climate Services Centre (CSC) to formulate consensus guidance for the 2015/2016 rainfall season over the SADC region. A series of rainfall outlooks covering the period October 2015 to March 2016 was prepared by climate scientists from the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services of the SADC region and the SADC CSC.

02 Oct 2015 description

In the new edition of USAID’s FrontLines magazine, read how the Agency is working to help people around the world prepare for and react to the rising temperatures and unpredictable weather that are the hallmarks of climate change. Some highlights: