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14 Oct 2019 description

The multiple deprivations affecting vulnerable populations are the greatest hurdle to achieving zero hunger. By directly addressing structural barriers, social protection can help WFP achieve its mandate on nutrition and food insecurity, and reach the most vulnerable, including people living with, at risk of1 and affected by HIV. Reaching zero hunger requires integrated programming aimed at all vulnerable population groups to enable them to access the support systems and services they need to be drawn out of poverty.

11 Oct 2019 description

In Numbers

A record 45 million Southern Africans will be severely food insecure at peak lean season

WFP to support 7.2 million people in 8 countries

US$ 260 million being sought to meet urgent food needs (US$ 139 million of the required US$ 399 million secured to date)

Highlights

WFP is stepping up both emergency assistance to those most in need and interventions to help vulnerable communities withstand increasingly frequent and intense climate shocks.

15 Jul 2019 description

• Based on the results of the 2019 Regional Vulnerability Assessment and Analysis (RVAA), it is estimated that 41 million people will be food insecure in the peak lean season, of which 9 million people require immediate assistance (Table 1).

• Zimbabwe, Mozambique and Zambia account for 75% of the total number needing immediate assistance.

• In Eswatini and Lesotho, 20% and 24% of the rural population are in need of immediate assistance.

10 Jul 2019 description

Highlights

Although most countries in the region are seeing their national average maize price stabilize or decrease in line with seasonal trends, prices are generally trending higher compared to last year.

16 May 2019 description

• The 2018/19 season, the driest season since at least 1981 in central and western parts of the region, was marked by delayed and erratic onset of rains, midseason dry spells, and early cessation of rains. From October 2018 to early April 2019, parts of southern Angola, northern Namibia, southern Botswana, northern South Africa, southern Zambia and northern Zimbabwe registered significantly below average rainfall (50%~ below average, Figure 1).

16 May 2019 description

Highlights

In line with seasonal trends, national average maize prices in most countries in the southern Africa region were on an upward trend in February and March, before the beginning of the main harvest season.

Regional maize supply for the 2019/20 marketing season is expected to be tight owing to lower harvests in key producing countries such as South Africa and Zambia. The latter saw maize price spikes in multiple markets in March, and an export ban on maize grain and meal has been in effect since mid-April.

13 Feb 2019 description

Highlights

In line with seasonal trends, national average maize prices have been increasing across the region. South Africa, the region’s largest maize producer/supplier, is seeing an uptick in prices partly due to lower than expected planting and the possibility of a poor 2018/19 harvest.

Markets in Zambia continue to experience higher than usual maize prices, and in December 2018, the national average maize price was 10 percent above the 5 year average (5YA).

30 Jan 2019 description

Highlights

In line with seasonal trends, national average maize prices have been increasing across the region. South Africa, the region’s largest maize producer/supplier, is seeing an uptick in prices partly due to lower than expected planting and the possibility of a poor 2018/19 harvest.

Markets in Zambia continue to experience higher than usual maize prices, and in December 2018, the national average maize price was 10 percent above the 5 year average (5YA).

21 Dec 2018 description

Will an El Nino take place?

Current forecasts of Eastern Pacific sea surface temperatures (SST) and expert judgement point to a significant likelihood of an El Nino materializing: currently this stands at over 90% chance of it happening by early 2019.

How long is it likely to last and how intense is it likely to get?

28 Nov 2018 description

Highlights

In most countries across southern Africa, national average maize prices currently remain below 5 year average (5YA) levels. The exception to this is Zambia, where in September, the national average maize price was 5 percent above the 5YA.

Markets in Zambia appear to be experiencing stress earlier this year, and in mid-October, the Zambian Government imposed temporary restrictive measures on the exportation of maize grain/ meal products to help secure national strategic reserves.

21 Nov 2018 description

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

The Climate Prediction Centre is predicting El Niño climatic conditions during the main 2018-19 growing season with 70-75% probability while IRI has increased the probability to more than 85%. Furthermore, the forecasts suggest a likelihood of a weak to moderate El Niño event. Historically El Niño climatic conditions have resulted in reduced rainfall across the southern part of Southern Africa.

18 Oct 2018 description

Highlights

In the southern African region, maize prices continue to show mixed trends. In countries such as Malawi and South Africa, national average maize prices have been on an upward trend, while in others, such as Tanzania and Zambia, they have remained relatively stable. In Zambia, however, this belies price increases in pockets of areas which experienced a poor harvest. A look at the Alert for Price Spikes (ALPS) shows more markets in Zambia experiencing stress earlier this year.

17 Oct 2018 description

Highlights

In the southern African region, maize prices continue to show mixed trends. In countries such as Malawi and South Africa, national average maize prices have been on an upward trend, while in others, such as Tanzania and Zambia, they have remained relatively stable. In Zambia, however, this belies price increases in pockets of areas which experienced a poor harvest. A look at the Alert for Price Spikes (ALPS) shows more markets in Zambia experiencing stress earlier this year.

17 Sep 2018 description

Will an El Nino take place?

Current forecasts of Eastern Pacific sea surface temperatures (SST) and expert judgement point to a significant likelihood of an El Nino materializing: currently this stands at 50-55% chance of it happening in the northern hemisphere Autumn and 65-70% chance of it developing in the coming Winter.

How long is it likely to last?

Judging from the forecasts for how SST are likely to evolve, this El Nino, should it materialize, is likely to be relatively short and over by mid 2019.

13 Sep 2018 description

Highlights

In the southern African region, maize prices are already beginning to show mixed trends. In South Africa and Tanzania, maize prices remain below their respective 5 year average (5YA) levels, while in other countries, such as Malawi and Mozambique, maize prices are on an upward trend and closing in on their 5YA levels.

A look at the Alert for Price Spikes (ALPS) shows that in both June and July, a few markets in Zambia were already showing signs of stress.

29 Aug 2018 description

Key messages

• The 2017-18 rainfall season was characterized by a late start, an extended mid-season dry spell (December-January) and heavy rains from February into April. The dry spell caused moisture stress and wilting of the early planted crops in many areas in Botswana, south-western Madagascar, southern Malawi, southern and some central parts of Mozambique, Zambia and Zimbabwe.

08 May 2018 description

Highlights
- Most of Southern Africa experienced erratic rainfall, delayed start of rainy season and extended midseason dry-spell from December to February which have wilted early planted crops in the region.
- In March 2018, significant rainfall was received in central and eastern parts of South Africa.