Statement from the seventeenth Southern Africa Regional Climate Outlook Forum (SARCOF-17), Harare, Zimbabwe, 28 – 30 August 2013
Southern African Development Community (SADC) is likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall for the period October to December (OND) 2013. However, south-westernmost Angola, coastal areas of Namibia, west coastal South Africa and northernmost Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) are more likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall.
In the November-December 2013-January 2014 period, bulk of the SADC region is likely to receive normal to above-normal rainfall, while the greater part of DRC, northernmost and south-western Angola and western fringes of Namibia and South Africa are likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall.
Bulk of both contiguous SADC and the island states of Madagascar and Mauritius are likely to receive normal to above normal rainfall during December 2013 to February 2014. However, south-western Angola, most of Namibia, western half of Botswana, most of central and western parts of South Africa and Lesotho are likely to receive above-normal to normal rainfall while the eastern half of Tanzania is likely to receive normal to below-normal rainfall.
For the period January to March (JFM) 2014, the bulk of SADC is expected to receive normal to above-normal rainfall. However, the tongue stretching from eastern coast of northern Mozambique through central parts of the region extending to the south western central parts of the region are likely to receive above-normal to normal rainfall.