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Uganda

Uganda: Food Security Outlook - January to June 2015

Attachments

Karamoja is Stressed (IPC Phase 2) due to well below average harvests

KEY MESSAGES

  • Above-average November to January second season harvests have replenished market supplies and household food stocks, improving household food access. Staple food prices have declined seasonally and are stable nationwide. Poor households currently face Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity, except in Karamoja, where Stressed (IPC Phase 2) persists due to large production deficits.

  • The March to May 2015 rains in both bimodal and unimodal areas will likely start on time with near-average cumulative rainfall. First season planting in bimodal and unimodal areas is expected to begin in March, although successive crop failure is likely to affect access to seeds for poor households in Karamoja.

  • The lean season in Karamoja is expected to start in early February, one month earlier than normal due to September to December main season production deficits. Stressed (IPC Phase 2) is expected through June, but may worsen if the rains are not timely and adequate. In the rest of the country, food security is likely to remain stable at Minimal (IPC Phase 1) in the coming six months.