CDEMA Hurricane Matthew - Situation Report #4 as of 5:00 pm on October 2nd, 2016

Report
from Caribbean Disaster Emergency Management Agency
Published on 02 Oct 2016 View Original

Message: Hurricane Matthew remains a powerful Category 4 hurricane moving in a north-western direction over the Caribbean Sea. Hurricane warnings have been issued for Jamaica and Haiti. A hurricane watch is in effect for Southeastern Bahamas, including the Inaguas, Mayaguana, Acklins, Crooked Island, Long Cay, Ragged Island, and the Turks and Caicos Islands. A tropical storm watch is in effect for the Dominican Republic from Barahona westward to the border with Haiti. Interests in The Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands should continue to monitor the progress of Hurricane Matthew.

EVENT:
Hurricane Matthew, the 5th named hurricane of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane season, was formed near the Windward Islands on September 28, 2016. As a Tropical Storm, Matthew impacted Barbados, Dominica, Saint Lucia, and St. Vincent and the Grenadines on Wednesday September 28, 2016.
On Sunday, October 2, 2016 at 5: 00 PM EDT (2100 UTC), Hurricane Matthew was located near latitude 14.6o North, longitude 74.8o West, and approximately 350 miles (565km) SSW of Port-au-Prince, Haiti and approximately 310 miles (505km) SSE of Kingston, Jamaica.

PROGNOSIS:
Reports from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicated that maximum sustained winds are near 145 mph (233 km/h) with higher gusts. The vertical shear is not forecast to become much stronger while Matthew is in the Caribbean, so the hurricane should remain near category 4 status for the next 36-48 hours.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km). Matthew is forecast to produce in excess of 300 mm (11 inches) of rainfall, the higher amounts of which is expected to precipitate over Hispaniola (Haiti and the Dominican Republic). Hurricane Matthew is moving toward the west near 5 mph (8 km/h) and a turn toward the north is forecast for Monday. The center of Matthew will approach the south-western tip of Haiti on Monday.