This report identifies the curent trends, events, and short term forecast associated with the 2012 monsoon season.

OVERVIEW

• The impact of the 2012 monsoon season rains has been well below normal.

• High flood level alert for the Chenab River at Marala and at Khanki from 4-5 August, with inundation of low lying areas.

• Weak monsoon rainfall is likely to have a negative impact on ‘kharif’ (summer) crop productivity.

• River flows are normal except for the Kabul River which is in low / medium flood.

• Water reservoir levels remain lower than the aggregated levels of the last five years.

• Mild to moderate drought conditions persist along the Balochistan coast and in the southwestern region.

• The monsoon forecast indicates reinforced activity by mid-August - districts likely to be affected by extreme monsoon events are indicated overleaf.