Climate Prediction Center’s Central Asia Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET June 12 –18, 2013
During the past week, temperatures averaged 2 to 6 degrees C above normal across Afghanistan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan. Temperatures generally averaged near to slightly below normal across Kazakhstan. Temperature anomalies are forecast to be relatively small across most of Central Asia. The largest positive temperature anomalies (8 degrees C or more) are forecast across the lower elevations of Tajikistan and northern Afghanistan. Maximum temperatures are expected to range from 36 to 40 degrees C across northern/western Afghanistan, southwest Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan during the upcoming week.
Scattered showers fell across Kazakhstan with the heaviest rainfall observed (up to 50 mm) across southeast Kazakhstan. Elsewhere, across Central Asia, seasonal dryness prevailed. Short-term precipitation deficits (25 mm or less) continue across western Kazakhstan. During the next week, locally heavy rain can be expected across north-central Kazakhstan and northern Pakistan. Heavy rain may trigger flash flooding across northern Pakistan.