Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook For USAID / FEWS-NET January 24 – January 30, 2013
Extreme rainfall continues, expanding the threat of flooding across much of southeastern Africa.
1) Significantly above-average precipitation during the last three weeks have resulted in numerous floods, downstream river basin inundation, damages to infrastructure, and thousands of displaced people across many local areas in Malawi and Mozambique. Rivers located in Zambezi, Busi, and Pungue basins of Mozambique are already above alert levels, sustaining the potential for additional flooding, and possibly lead to damaged crops in the region. Extreme rains in southern Zimbabwe, Mozambique, and northern South Africa have also triggered numerous floods, resulting in more damages to infrastructure and fatalities in the region during the last week. Average to above-average rainfall is expected over southeastern Africa, with the potential for locally heavy rainfall across portions of Zambia and Malawi during the next seven days.
2) A Tropical Depression centered in the Mozambique Channel is expected to move eastward towards southwestern Madagascar, producing above-average amounts of precipitation. Ample tropical moisture and rainfall may trigger localized flooding in the Toliara province during the next week.