SADC Climate Services Centre - Update Outlook for February - March 2017 Issue no. 3 (06 January 2017)

Report
from Southern African Development Community
Published on 06 Jan 2017 View Original

HIGHLIGHTS

OCTOBER – DECEMBER 2016 RAINFALL HIGHLIGHTS

  • Since late November, the southern African summer monsoon has continued to be dominated by a dipole pattern: with suppressed rainfall in the northeastern parts of the region and Island of Madagascar, and enhanced rainfall in the southern parts of contiguous SADC.

  • Some significant above-normal rainfalls conditions were observed last past 30 days, across portions of northwestern DRC, west and south of Namibia, Botswana, Zimbabwe and south Mozambique.

JFM 2017 UPDATE RAINFALLS OUTLOOK SUMMARY

For the period January to March 2017, there will be below-normal rainfall conditions over eastern DRC, Tanzania, extreme northern Zambia, Malawi, Mozambique and Madagascar.

Meanwhile, there will be greater likelihood of normal to above-normal rainfall over southern parts of Zimbabwe and Mozambique, northern South Africa, eastern Botswana and Swaziland and Lesotho. Largely consistent previous projections from SARCOF-20.