Stressed food insecurity to start in October due to above-average food prices, debt
Key Messages
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Average national rice production is expected this season along with an average March/April 2014 maize/legume harvest in the south. As a result, acute food insecurity is expected to remain Minimal (IPC Phase 1) through at least September.
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In areas of the south and southwest that faced multiple shocks in 2013, high prices and above-average debt levels are likely to lead to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) acute food insecurity among poor households starting in October.
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Forecasts for normal to below-normal rainfall in central and northern Madagascar between October and December 2014 during the start of the rainy season may affect local production and associated labor activities.