National Drought Early Warning Bulletin (December 2016)
The short rains season started late and has so far performed below par. The quantity and distribution of rainfall has been inadequate, particularly in arid counties and at the coast. Consequently a widespread vegetation deficit persists. Three more counties have moved into the alarm drought phase since the previous month: Mandera, Samburu and Tana River.
Where rains have been received, the recovery is fragile and slow. In arid and pastoral counties, any improvement in environmental conditions and livestock productivity may be insufficient to sustain households until the long rains begin. In crop-producing counties, the late start and early end to the season mean that yields are likely to be poor. Drought stress is therefore set to deepen and widen in the first quarter of 2017.