Latin America and Caribbean seasonal monitor: November 2012

Report
from Famine Early Warning System Network
Published on 30 Nov 2012 View Original

Below-average second-season production in Haiti, near average in Central America

KEY MESSAGES

  • Rainfall in Haiti has been poorly distributed in time and space for both the first and second rainy seasons in 2012. Haiti is likely to face a second, consecutive belowaverage harvest due to early season dryness and late season flooding for the 2012 second season.

  • Though below-average production is also expected in Olancho, Honduras, a surplus-producing area, Postrera season harvests in Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, and Honduras are still likely to be near average nationally.

  • Medium-term forecasts suggest a likelihood of a normal start of season for the April-July Primera season throughout Central America and the Caribbean.